100 Level

Seeking Alpha Articles

Over the last few weeks I've been writing a few articles for  Seeking Alpha and they have pulled a few blog posts off this site.  In case you missed any of these articles, here are the links. Emerging Market Countries: Properly Priced Probabilities Portfolio Risk: Is It Worth Taking a Chance? Stress Testing Retirement Portfolio: Will It Last? A 10 … [Read More...]

New Feature: ETF Evaluation Model

ETFs Positioned to Buy The following data table is something new, although I did mention the possibility I would be putting together such an ETF evaluation.  In the following table I've combined a number of variables such as the 195-Day EMA and Chaikin Money Flow and quantized them into a percentage that you see in the right-hand column.  Platinum membership available for $5.00 per … [Read More...]

300 Level

“Creme List” – 24 June 2011

Twenty stocks made the "Creme List" this week.  There were no new-comers and no stocks were purged from the list.  That will happen in a few weeks if some companies do not make a comeback.  Examine the "Creme List" for stocks of interest.  Note that only one is priced to purchase despite the market decline this week. … [Read More...]

Momentum Percentage – Calculation and Interpretation

As promised in a recent comment I have prepared an explanation of how the Momentum Percentage number in the Ranking Spreadsheet is calculated and how it should be be interpreted. This may seem a little complex at first read, but I've tried to illustrate and make understanding as simple as I can. There's lots of ink that may require lots of think! … [Read More...]

200 Level

Asset Allocation Example

In the table below, viewers see the asset classes discussed in a prior blog entry.  We are looking at fifteen asset classes, including Cash. In the second table the sample asset allocation is broken down into percentages and we cut out the Core holding, moving the number of asset classes to twelve. [Table=6] … [Read More...]

A Challenge to Active Management

Active vs. Passive Management Scores of papers and blogs have been written about the merits of passive vs. active management.  I've contributed my share and here is one of my earlier posts.  Readers will find more articles by moving over to the right sidebar and looking up Passive vs. Active blogs.  There are over 25 posts on this subject. When you read about active management outperforming … [Read More...]

400 Level

VTI And The ITA Risk Reduction Model

At the request of a long-time Platinum member, I am going to examine a number of key ETFs used to populate specific asset classes in an effort to see how well the ITA Risk Reduction model worked over the last four months.  Keep in mind that no one ever stated that the ITARR model, or a variation such as the Faber-Richardson model, will work all the time, month after month.  Where the … [Read More...]

Bond “Delta Factor” Projections

As requested, here are the "Delta Factor" projections for bond ETFs.  Keep in mind that VCSH, VCIT, VMBS and VGLT have short records (less than 5-yrs) so can be neglected.  If you have other bond ETFs to consider, send them along and I can add them to this list. … [Read More...]