100 Level

Why The Three Basics ETFs Are Insufficient

VTI, VEU & VWO are insufficient Several days ago I wrote about the three basic asset classes needed in every portfolio.  The three mentioned are: U.S. equities, developed international markets, and emerging markets.  While VTI, VEU, and VWO cover these three asset classes, they are insufficient when putting together an adequate portfolio and here is the analysis showing … [Read More...]

ITA Risk Reduction Update

Where do we stand with ETF prices and their respective 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages?  As I am updating all the portfolios this month, I am paying close attention to the five (Maxwell, Euclid, Madison, Kenilworth, and Gauss) portfolios to see if changes are necessary based on the ITARR model.  I checked all the primary ETFs used to populate the asset classes and all are priced above their … [Read More...]

300 Level

ITARR Style Portfolios: What Next?

Now that we are near the end of the month, what are the plans for the Maxwell, Euclid, and Madison portfolios?  A price check this morning show all seven basic ETFs are well under their 195-Day EMAs.  Should this continue until November 30th, and I expect that to be the case, we will not make any changes in these three portfolios even though we do hold partial positions in VTI, IWN, IGE, … [Read More...]

Retirement Planning: Stress Testing a Simple 5 ETF Portfolio

As mentioned in a recent post, stress testing the portfolio is one useful method of checking to see if there will be sufficient funds available to comfortably retire.  In this QPP analysis of a simple five ETF portfolio we will make some initial assumptions that will vary from investor to investor. Assume this investor is 50 and plans to retire at age 67.  The current portfolio is … [Read More...]

200 Level

Weekly Portfolio Performance Update: 27 April 2012

The good news is that every portfolio increased in value this week.  The bad news is that all but one portfolio (Maxwell) lost ground relative to the benchmarks.  Two factors played into this scenario.  1) International markets continue to lag the U.S. Equities market.  2) Growth equities are performing better than value and that hurts our portfolios since we skew the Strategic … [Read More...]

Is It Fair To Compare Performance Results Of Different Portfolios?

Is it fair to compare performance results of different portfolios?  ITA Platinum members have see a number of comparisons on this blog and I plan to publish more results.  However, there are inherent problems when it comes to portfolio performance comparisons.  Let me list a few as it is important to keep in mind these problems. 1) When selecting a sample portfolio from a web site … [Read More...]

400 Level

Suggested Portfolio

A Platinum member sent in the following portfolio for a Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis and evaluation.  In the following screen shots, readers will see the tickers, percentages allocated to each, the QPP analysis, and a three-year look at the "Delta Factor" projections.  For the following QPP analysis, I used three years of historical data and assumed the S&P 500 … [Read More...]

Sortino Ratio: Revised Calculation

Platinum members likely picked up my reference on the new Sortino Ratio (SR) calculation in the comments section.  When you first log on to ITA Wealth Management, be sure to check for the latest comments or better still, sign up for a comments RSS.  What is changing with the SR calculation? … [Read More...]