100 Level

Motley Fools, Passive & Active Investing

Photograph:  Mt. Bachelor in Central Oregon If you need more evidence to support passive rather than active investing, here is another article on what is happening over on the Motley Fools web site.  In the 1990s, I was a regular reader of material on the Fools site. At the time is was the most popular investment web site to visit.  I devoured their popular book, "The Motley … [Read More...]

Solving Investment Problem #5: It is too late to start saving.

Balderdash!  It is never too late to begin saving for retirement.  Yes, it is preferred to follow "The Golden Rule of Investing" and start saving as early as possible, but it is never to late to begin.  Let me illustrate with a short story. I know of one family that had almost no savings by age 57.  The house was paid in full, but savings for retirement were close to … [Read More...]

300 Level

QPP Analysis of Kepler Portfolio

Nearly six months rolled by since the last Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis of the Kepler Portfolio.  Platinum readers can go through the QPP analysis and do not neglect the correlation matrix.  Take a close look and let me know your observations. … [Read More...]

Conservative Portfolio

Below is the QPP analysis of a portfolio suggested by an ITA reader. The portfolio is made up from a wide array of index funds and ETFs.  The projected return of 4.44% immediately indicates this is a conservative portfolio as it is projected to return 2.6% below that projected for the S&P 500.  The projected standard deviation is also low at 8.1%, and the Risk/Volatility ratio at … [Read More...]

200 Level

Asset Allocation for Small Global Portfolios

If your portfolio is small and yet you want global diversification, this portfolio is one to consider.  This six asset class portfolio is built around asset allocation guidelines laid out by David Swensen in his book, "Unconventional Success."  Thirty percent of the portfolio is allocated to U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT) and TIPs (TIP).  Domestic REITs are covered with the VNQ … [Read More...]

Why Sector Allocation Is Diversification Deficient

There are investors who build their portfolios around sectors instead of asset classes.  The following optimization shows why sector allocation comes up short when it comes to portfolio diversification.  As a reminder, asset classes cover all sectors, but sectors do not cover all asset classes. … [Read More...]

400 Level

Risk Reduction With Maxwell Portfolio

Bringing Maxwell on to New Schedule Using the new examination schedule, the Maxwell Portfolio will undergo a look at market close to see if any changes need to be made in the ETFs that make up this portfolio.  Since I went through this process at the end of December I don't anticipate any changes.  The purpose of this post is to bring the Maxwell into the new examination … [Read More...]

Equity ETFs And The “Delta Factor”

Are there any areas of the equity market that look positive for the next six to twelve months?  Even with a relatively strong market this summer, there are pockets of opportunity and they are indicated in the following table. … [Read More...]