100 Level

Grand Tetons – Yellowstone – Glacier: A Slide Show

Make sure your subwoofer is working and all programs shutdown so you can view this YouTube slide show of my recent photographic trip to Wyoming and Montana.  Here is the link to the show.  Enjoy. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UYu3vqDpFiA&sns=fb If you enjoyed this show of the Grand Tetons, perhaps you also have an interest in Bryce Canyon, Zion National Park, and the Arches.  Check out … [Read More...]

Retirement Mistake #4: Overestimating Portfolio Return

Historically, the U.S. Stock Market has returned about 7% annually in excess of inflation.  Is this likely to continue?  Real earnings come from dividends, dividend growth, and P/E expansion.  Projecting future returns to match the historical level, which included one of the longest bull markets from August of 1982 through March of 2000 is not likely to be duplicated in the near future.  Further, … [Read More...]

300 Level

Sixteen Dividend Stocks

Platinum members interested in selecting individual stocks will be interested in this list of dividend oriented companies. In the first screen shot we have the screens applied to over 9800 stocks.  From this group we extract only sixteen.  Those companies are shown in the second screen.   Several of the sixteen stocks that make this "dividend" cut are part of the … [Read More...]

Annaly Capital Management (NLY): Little to Offer Except High Dividend

What does Annaly Capital Management (NLY) have to offer other than a high yield of 12%?  Sales, profits, and earnings are erratic making it difficult to perform any sort of useful analysis.  Check the screenshots below. Not for publication elsewhere on the Internet. Page 1:  Looking at the graphs one would think they are at Six Flags amusement park.  While it is difficult to make any sort of … [Read More...]

200 Level

In Search of the “Holy Grail” Portfolio Asset Allocation

Searching for that idea asset allocation is a never ending challenge. Particularly if one does not want an overly complicated portfolio. Below is a slight variation of a Strategic Asset Allocation plan laid out earlier this week. While the projected return meets the goal of exceeding the projected return for the S&P 500 by more than 100 basis points (1.0%), the projected uncertainty is a … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 2 December 2011

This past week was a very good one in absolute terms or when comparing with historical data as nearly all portfolios gained ground.  In other words, the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) showed improvement.  However, all portfolios lost yardage when compared with the VTSMX benchmark.  It must be noted that dividends and the most recent trades are not included in the results as only the … [Read More...]

400 Level

Post-Modern Portfolio Theory

Serious investors interested in digging deeper into the issue of portfolio risk management will find the article titled, Post-Modern Portfolio Theory of great interest. This link is bound to produce different references over time so here is a clue to finding the article. Google the term, “Post-Modern Portfolio Theory” and then look for the PDF article by the same name. The article is … [Read More...]

Reviewing Buy and Sell Decisions: Using VNQ as Example

Platinum members are aware of the five (Maxwell, Euclid, Madison, Kenilworth, and Gauss) ITA Risk Reduction (ITARR) portfolios.  In an effort to reduce risk there are times when the price of the ETF runs well ahead of its 195-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and we want to protect profits.  How can we do this?  Here are some suggestions and an example.  Remember, this pertains to a situation … [Read More...]