100 Level

Bullish Percent Indicator Update

In the Bullish Percent Indicator data table below, I want to draw your attention to several features.  1) Look at the latest data in the 06/01/12 row.  The left-hand number, 46.62, is the most important as that indicates the percent of stocks in the NYSE that are generating a bullish PnF graph. [Next time I will include the headers or titles in the screen shot.]  That percent … [Read More...]

The Asset Allocation Hoax

Prominent asset allocation critic, William Jahnke, titled his 1997 attack on the Brinson et. al. (BHB) papers, “The Asset Allocation Hoax.” Jahnke’s criticisms of the two papers are many. He argues the authors do not focus on the proper problem, they report the wrong number, cost is not considered, and they give the wrong advice. To better understand the problem, here is the … [Read More...]

300 Level

Growth: Portfolio #5

Moving one step closer to increasing the projected return, this post is about the Growth Portfolio, number 5 out of 6 in this series.  Bond and income is reduced to 16% in this portfolio so it is definitely tilting toward the aggressive side of investing.  Two ETFs, BND and IEF are eliminated from this portfolio as we will concentrate our income holdings in TIP and TLT. Platinum … [Read More...]

Dividend Aristocrats: Another Look

This list of Dividend Aristocrats emerge from a tighter screen than the one I used a few days ago.  1) The stock is priced equal or greater than $10.00.  That change had no impact on the number of stocks.  2) The big difference is that I raised the dividend growth rate over the seven years from 3% to 10%.  This change cut the list in half. Below is the screen I used and a list … [Read More...]

200 Level

Merging The Swensen And Faber Portfolios

Swensen and Faber-Richardson Portfolios Merging the Swensen and Faber-Richardson portfolios is an effort to extract the excellent logic behind the "Swensen Six" portfolio and expand the number of asset classes as advocated in the "Faber-Richardson Ten" portfolio.  Parts of the logic behind the "Swensen Six" can be found in this Seeking Alpha article.  In … [Read More...]

Rule #8: Should I Invest In a Roth IRA or Traditional IRA?

Which type of IRA account should one use for a personal retirement account?  Is it best to use the Roth IRA or traditional IRA.  With the Roth IRA, one pays the taxes before investing and the money is available tax free in retirement.  With the traditional IRA, one deducts taxes going in and pays taxes when the money is withdrawn.  You may find this surprising, but it makes no difference which you … [Read More...]

400 Level

Coming Soon: New Test Portfolio

This week I plan to set up a new test portfolio that will be of interest to Platinum readers.  The portfolio is based on the ITA Risk Reduction model described in prior posts.  This portfolio will begin with a deposit of $10,000 and the Strategic Asset Allocation plan will look like the following screen shot. … [Read More...]

Preparing a New Portfolio for a Customized Benchmark

Within the TLH Spreadsheet is the capability to develop a customized benchmark for any portfolio that uses any combination of the 17 asset classes found in this blog post. If you are new to ITA Wealth Management, note that we pay a lot of attention to asset allocation, even though it has recently fallen out of favor, particularly since the 2008 market crash.  Why build a customized … [Read More...]