100 Level

New Normal Portfolio

              The New Normal (NN) is a view that developed with the bear market that has been articulated especially by Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian of PIMCO.  In summer of 2009 this blog pointed us to an article by Geoff Considine of QPP about some suggested asset allocations that could successfully navigate the NN.  … [Read More...]

QPP Analysis of Swensen-Faber Merged Portfolio

Merging ideas from the "Swensen Six" and "Faber Ten" portfolios has the potential to generate a wide array of asset allocation plans.  In the following example I am sticking with the general percentages allocated to the broad asset classes, as recommended by David Swensen, but you will see that I am adding asset classes as suggested in the "Faber Ten" portfolio. … [Read More...]

300 Level

Balancing Risk Over A Ten ETF Portfolio

In response to a Platinum member, the following QPP analysis is set up in a manner to equalize risk across the different ETFs rather than set up a capitalization asset allocation.  Note that I am using a 56-month time frame as I wanted to span the last bear market while avoiding any short-record issues with ETFs that have not been in existence for five years. To come up with the percentages … [Read More...]

Portfolio Review: Bohr

Bohr Update Review time is here again for the Bohr Portfolio.  No purchases were made thus far this month as most the asset classes are in balance.  I don't plan any changes in commodities as that asset class is only out of alignment by 68 shares of GSG.  What I might do is exchange GSG (heavily oriented toward oil) and purchase DBC, an ETF with a more even distribution of … [Read More...]

200 Level

Retirement Portfolio: Part Two

As pointed out in this blog post, one first selects asset classes for a retirement portfolio.  Then comes the difficult part of selecting what percentage to allocate to each ETF or asset class.  Below is a basic allocation that is not optimized.  In a later post I will run through an optimization of this set of ETFs to see if the projected return can be enhanced and still lower projected risk. … [Read More...]

What Are The Disadvantages of Index Funds?

This morning I noticed a reader was searching for disadvantages associated with index funds, so I decided to do a little internet searching to find some of the drawbacks, if any.  As soon as one delves into this question, up pops the issue of passive vs. active investing.  Here are a few resources I located that deal with the question - are there disadvantages to using index funds?  I include … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bond “Delta Factor” Summary

As promised, below is a screen shot of a "Delta Factor" data table for AGG, BIV, BSV, HYG, JNK, IEF, TLT, and TIP.  The reference bond ETF I use in this analysis is BND.  I've done almost no testing with bonds so I don't know the quality of the predictive powers when it comes to bonds. … [Read More...]

VEU And The ITA Risk Reduction Model

Using the ITA Risk Reduction model for VEU tells a completely different story from the prior analysis of VTI.  Using the same time frames as we did for VTI, the first examination is to see what we do at the end of the month. … [Read More...]