100 Level

“Delta Factor” – What is it and is it useful?

Context is essential when developing an argument, and that is what this post on the "Delta Factor" is designed to do.  Rather than use ETFs in the "Delta Factor" argument, I selected 20 well-known stocks so I could dip back to the late 1900s for data.  Many ETFs we use did not exist in the late 1900s and early 2000s and most that did lack the necessary historical data … [Read More...]

Searching for the Strategic Asset Allocation Holy Grail

Establishing a strategic asset allocation (SAA) plan for a portfolio requires at least two major decisions.  1) What asset classes should be included in the portfolio.  2) What percentage of the total portfolio is allocated to each asset class.  Decision number two is the more difficult of the two.  Where do I come up with the various asset allocation plans found in the various … [Read More...]

300 Level

AAII ETF Portfolio Analysis

In the November 2011 issue of the AAII Journal is a Model ETF Portfolio.  I've been a member of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) since the mid-1970s and it is a great organization.  In each publication, I generally find one or two articles of interest.  Anytime I see a sample portfolio I like to run an analysis to see what the QPP is telling me.  … [Read More...]

Thinking Through the Madison Portfolio

With the Madison Portfolio due for review tomorrow, what decisions are likely to be made based on the data from the Buy-Hold-Sell Recommendation table?  As you look over this table, think through the steps you would make if this were your portfolio.  No specific data is provided as to holdings or size of portfolio. Buy-Hold-Sell Recommendations:  Followers of the ITA Risk Reduction model will … [Read More...]

200 Level

Active vs. Passive Investing

ITA Wealth Management readers will recall the five decisions discussed in "The Investment Answer," a short book authored by Daniel Goldie and Gordon Murray, who died of brain cancer last month.  Those five fundamental decisions are:  1) Do-It Yourself Decision, 2) Asset Allocation Decision, 3) Diversification Decision, 4) Active versus Passive Decision, and 5) Rebalancing … [Read More...]

Five-Year Analysis of “New Portfolio”

As promised, Platinum members can see the asset allocation for a portfolio designed to take advantage of the economy when it is in a growth stage while defending against inflation, and to a lesser degree, deflation.  While the portfolio is not recession proof, there are aspect to the following list of ETFs that will buffer against a recession. … [Read More...]

400 Level

Delta Factor Results From Recommended Stocks

Adding a few recommended stocks to the "Mad Money" group, plus a few more, and Platinum members have the beginnings of some interesting companies.  No recommendations are implied.  I have room for another 15 to 17 before I need to create another list.  ROIC does not have the requisite history, so take that into consideration.  For this QPP analysis I used a 57-month … [Read More...]

Bullish Percent Indicators Update: 8/31/2012

As Platinum members can see from the data tables below, many of the major indexes and market sectors are close or currently positioned in the overbought zone.  While the markets may continue holding such lofty values for many weeks, eventually we will see some sort of correction and better buying opportunities. … [Read More...]