100 Level

Sample Portfolio Requested By Platinum Member

The following set of tickers and percentages were sent to me for analysis.  I used five years of historical data and set, as I generally do, a 7.0% return projection for the S&P 500.  I used TIP (1.0%) for the cash holding.  That choice has little impact on the final projections.    Below is the analysis data.  Instead of me writing up my observations, I'll … [Read More...]

Multi-Asset Class Investing

Multi-asset class investing or multiple asset classes is a title that comes right out of Richard A. Ferri’s excellent book, “All About Asset Allocation.” While my reference is to Ferri's first edition, I would pay the few extra dollars and purchase the second edition.  Nudged by a fellow asset allocation investor, I went back and reread Chapter 4 of Ferri’s book. … [Read More...]

300 Level

Delta Factor and Stocks of Interest

Out of curiosity, I wanted to see what the "Delta Factor" would tell us for a group of stocks that show up with a "Buy" signal on my Watch List or 150 stocks.  Without a lot of comment, below is a list of stocks that are priced for purchase based on the pricing models I use within the Watch List.  Extracting only those stocks, I ran them through the "Delta … [Read More...]

Sample Portfolio #1

Here is the analysis of a portfolio recently mailed to me.  This analysis is one of the perks that come with Platinum membership.  The first screen shot shows the QPP analysis and the second slide is the correlations of the securities within the context of the portfolio.  Comments are welcome from Platinum readers. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance Update – 5/6/2011

In the table below readers will find portfolio performance data for 20 portfolios.  Ten are tracked using Captool software and ten are monitored and managed using the TLH Spreadsheet.  The IR column is the Information Ratio value.  SR and RR are Sortino Ratio and Retirement Ratio respectively.  The higher the ratio value the better. Keep in mind that the May dividends for HYG, … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance Update: 19 May 2012

Several weeks flitted by without a portfolio performance update.  Here is the latest information (see data table below) after what we might categorize as a miserable stock market week.  The ITA Risk Reduction model is working!  It is doing exactly what it was designed to do - reduce portfolio risk while increasing relative return.  However, it is still too early to gloat, but … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators: 1 February 2013

While several sectors showed some weakness this week, our primary index (NYSE) moved up slightly.  The data tables are shown below. The following material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Gauss Portfolio Review: 22 May 2012

Photograph: Annular solar eclipse taken by my friend and fellow physics teacher, Dave Cross.  Image taken near Redding, California on May 20, 2012. As one of the five ITARR portfolios, the Gauss is an important test model for risk reduction.  Of the eight critical asset class represented by specific ETFs, the following are priced below their 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages and … [Read More...]