100 Level

Return and Risk Relationship

What is the relationship between return of a portfolio and the associated risk involved? Quoting from an “Active vs. Passive” paper I found in my files. “High potential returns always involve high potential risks. There are no low-risk/high-return investments. Investment risk comes in many forms but, to most investors, risk means the potential for losing investment capital and … [Read More...]

AAII Journal: November Issue

As a lifetime member of the American Association of Individual Investors, I receive their journal each month. The November issue was of particular interest as it included 20 pages of the best financial web sites on the Internet. In addition to all those investment links this issue carried their ETF portfolio of which I analyze in a post tomorrow. There is also an article, "Is the Stock … [Read More...]

300 Level

Simplified “Holy Grail” Portfolio: A 12-ETF Approach

12-ETF Portfolio Following up on yesterday's blog post, here is a simplified revision of the "Holy Grail" portfolio.  Any time one can reduce the number of holdings and improve the return and volatility projections, give the new portfolio high marks.  The following group of twelve (12) ETFs provides a higher Return/Risk ratio than the portfolio discussed yesterday.  … [Read More...]

Portfolio Review: Bohr

Bohr Update Review time is here again for the Bohr Portfolio.  No purchases were made thus far this month as most the asset classes are in balance.  I don't plan any changes in commodities as that asset class is only out of alignment by 68 shares of GSG.  What I might do is exchange GSG (heavily oriented toward oil) and purchase DBC, an ETF with a more even distribution of … [Read More...]

200 Level

Kepler Portfolio Review: 24 October 2011

Once more it is time to update the Kepler Portfolio.  Platinum members can see the Dashboard worksheet showing the asset allocation plan in the following screen shot. Note that both the Sortino and Retirement ratios are slightly negative.  The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for the Kepler is trailing the VTSMX benchmark by 0.3%.  We should be able to make that up if and when the … [Read More...]

Modest Growth: Portfolio #4

The Modest Growth Portfolio reduces bonds to 25% of the total portfolio.  This income/bond percentage is more in line with many of the portfolios tracked here at ITA Wealth Management.  One big difference, at least for the larger portfolios, is that most of the ITA portfolios carry a greater diversification.  While the portfolio below is diversified all over the world, the idea is … [Read More...]

400 Level

Sector Bullish Percent Indicators: Several Switch Sides

Sector Bullish Percent Indicators are relatively new to ITA Wealth management.  While I am not a believer in building a portfolio through sectors, I do follow them as there may be opportunities to add a particular sector to a portfolio built around asset classes.  For this reason, I track the Bullish Percent Indicators (BPI) as shown in the data table below.  The reason I favor … [Read More...]

Optimizing QPP Analysis Asset Allocation Models

Some years ago I tested a Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO) software program that was designed for William Bernstein.  Manual data entry and knowing if it was accurate proved to be a problem.  Much to my surprise, I recently received an e-mail from the developers of Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP), pointing me to an article that an Excel™ guru developed an optimization spreadsheet that links to … [Read More...]