100 Level

Active vs. Passive Decision

Active vs. Passive Management If the decision to handle your own investments is the answer to question #1 in this series, then going Passive is a no-brainer. The evidence for the passive approach to investing is so overwhelming anyone but Warren Buffett taking the active route needs to study statistics. Goldie and Murray write, "The Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that no investor will … [Read More...]

Dinner Music: Romantic Saxophone Quintet

If you are looking for soft saxophone dinner music, this inexpensive CD is one for serious consideration.  I'm using several cuts in a few slide shows, one of a new wedding and another of a 50th wedding anniversary.  This music spans the ages.  Several of my favorites are:  Killing Me Softly with His Song, The First Time Ever I Saw Your Face, and Endless Love. There are no lyrics to distract so … [Read More...]

300 Level

Core ETFs Optimized for Maximum Return

To answer my own question of what ETFs are critical to most portfolios, I put together what I call the "Essential Twelve."  The plan is to cover the U.S. Equities, Emerging and Developed International Markets.  REITs, commodities, bond, and treasury instruments are included in the following analysis. The following information is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Reviewing The Portfolio

Kepler Portfolio Review Monday's calendar tells me it is time for another review of the Kepler Portfolio.  Below is the Dashboard for this portfolio and readers will note nearly all the asset classes are within the target limits.  Those limits are +/- 20% as set by the Threshold inside the TLH Spreadsheet.  Only emerging markets is slightly below target.  If new cash comes … [Read More...]

200 Level

Retirement Analysis: What Must Be Done To Avoid Retirement Poverty

As promised, here is the Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) retirement analysis using the Kenilworth Portfolio as an example.  The first screen shot shows the assumptions involved in the analysis.  The second slide is familiar to Platinum readers as it lays out the investments and percentage in each.  The third slide is the scary one as it presents the grim details or the … [Read More...]

Optimizing the “Swensen Six” Portfolio

To answer the question of how much the "Swensen Six" portfolio changes when placed under the optimization microscope, here is the following analysis.  The percentage changes from asset class to asset class are not as different as one might expect. This material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

400 Level

Pre-Examination of Maxwell Portfolio

Tomorrow is the examination date for the Maxwell Portfolio, one of the ITA Risk Reduction model candidates.  The asset allocation plan (Dashboard will be available tomorrow) for the Maxwell is a little different than it is for "mainstream" portfolios such as the Newton, Euclid, and Schrodinger.  The allocation plan is skewed toward small-cap value and emerging markets.  … [Read More...]

Gauss Portfolio Review: Risk Reduction Model Update

At the end of each month the Gauss Portfolio comes up for its ITARR review.  Over the past few days I had some concerns that one or more of the eight critical ETFs would be sold out of the Gauss.  Fortunately, this did not happen as the closing prices today showed each of the ETFs priced above their 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages.  We may find a different situation when the Maxwell is … [Read More...]