100 Level

The Simple Six Swensen Portfolio

Amid all the discussion of various technical indicators resides a simple six-asset portfolio advocated by David Swensen.  The six asset classes are: U.S. Equities, Developed International Markets, Emerging Markets, REITs, Treasury Bonds, and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.  That's it.  Six ETFs will provide global coverage. The following slide shows the Quantext … [Read More...]

The Active vs. Passive Management Debate

Will there ever be a definitive answer to the active vs. passive management debate?  Likely not and here are possible reasons why we will never have a complete answer to which method is superior.  At the very core of the argument is lack of data, at least as it pertains to one level of the argument.  The active vs. passive argument is carried on at two levels.  One level is … [Read More...]

300 Level

Piotroski Stocks Update

What stocks are still populating the Piotroskie High F-Score after the latest screens?  Only five made the list and we hold two in the Gauss Portfolio. … [Read More...]

Mosaic Portfolio Lookback – 02 January 2008

Mosaic Portfolio Lookback What were the signals at the beginning of the year - 2008?  If one examines the QPP analysis below, times looked great. Projected return was 10.45% or about 3.5% points above that projected for the S&P 500.  Yes, the projected risk or uncertainty is a tad over 15%, but the Return/Uncertainty ratio is a very high 0.70.  This is almost unheard of, at … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance: 22 April 2011

ITA Wealth Management Portfolio Data While absolute performance or IRR values increased for the individual portfolios, most gave ground on a relative basis to both the ITA Index and the VTSMX benchmarks.  In several cases, the Sortino Ratio (SR) and Retirement Ratio (RR) increased, a positive sign.  Anecdotal evidence points to the portfolio's performing better relative to their … [Read More...]

Report on “New Normal” Portfolio

The following report on the "New Normal" portfolio comes from Bob Warasila, the creator of this set of assets. The New Normal test portfolio is now at the 2 year mark and is ahead of the benchmark VTSMX.  This portfolio is based on some comments by Pimco’s co-chairs and Geoff Considine (What the New Normal Means for Asset Allocation, August 8, 2009) of QPP back in the summer … [Read More...]

400 Level

Ranking Vanguard’s Sector ETFs

One of the portfolios up for review this week is the Gauss.  In preparation for that update I'm looking for ways to improve the performance of this portfolio as it still lags the VTSMX benchmark.  I thought I would rank the Vanguard sector ETFs (minus VNQ) to see if there are any potential "momentum" ETFs among this group.  Below is the latest ranking. Sector Rankings:  The financial (VFH) ETF … [Read More...]

Preparing the Euclid Portfolio for Timing Model

Preparing the Maxwell and Euclid Portfolios Further preparation in the Euclid Portfolio took place this morning as shares of VBR were sold.  What I am doing is selling off holdings outside the basic ETFs we plan to use in this experiment.  These ETFs include VTI, VEU, VWO, VNQ, and RWX as these are the instruments I will use in this modified Faber-Richardson model.  I probably will … [Read More...]