100 Level

$100,000 Starter Portfolio

For prospective investors just beginning a portfolio, here is a sample based on the Momentum-Optimization Model (MOM).  MOM is discussed elsewhere on this blog.  Just search to full title or MOM to find this material. We first begin with a ranking of all the securities we might consider for our holdings.  This includes approximately 30 ETFs.  Most are commission free to clients of … [Read More...]

Benchmarking a Portfolio: Essential to Portfolio Management

Waterford, Virginia ITA Wealth Management readers know I am passionate about portfolio benchmarking and portfolio risk analysis.  To my knowledge, there is no better software program for the small investor than the TLH Spreadsheet, provided to all Platinum members.  We use two primary benchmarks in this spreadsheet, although four are available.  One is Vanguard's Total Stock … [Read More...]

300 Level

Annaly Capital Management (NLY): Little to Offer Except High Dividend

What does Annaly Capital Management (NLY) have to offer other than a high yield of 12%?  Sales, profits, and earnings are erratic making it difficult to perform any sort of useful analysis.  Check the screenshots below. Not for publication elsewhere on the Internet. Page 1:  Looking at the graphs one would think they are at Six Flags amusement park.  While it is difficult to make any sort of … [Read More...]

Fiscal Cliff: Time to Activate ITARR Model

We hear a lot about the coming "fiscal cliff."  If Congress does not act before taxes increase and spending cuts go into effect at the beginning of 2013, the country could go into another recession.  Rather than panic, now is the time to pay close attention to each major holding in your portfolio(s).  Instead of limiting the ITA Risk Reduction model to five portfolios, I plan to expand the number, … [Read More...]

200 Level

Positioning the Maxwell, Euclid, and Madison

In preparation to launch the ITA Risk Reduction model for the Maxwell, Euclid, Madison, and possibly one or two more portfolios, the basic asset allocation is laid out below.  SDS is shown only as a possibility in unusual circumstances.  The percentages as shown apply only when the ETF price lies above its 195-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).  Such is not the case right now as … [Read More...]

Developing a Portfolio Plan

Basic Suggestions in Portfolio Development* In the beginning stages of setting up a portfolio plan, there are a few essential decisions investors make. Here are a few hints to consider. Follow "The Golden Rule of Investing." Save as much as you can as early as you can. Develop a savings plan as there is no avoiding this step. Live below your means.  Learn … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators: 21 December 2012

This past week, despite the political problems in Washington, saw improvement in many of the broad market indexes and individual sectors.  Platinum members can check the results in the following two tables. The following information is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

“Delta Factor” for Sector Portfolio

What is the "Delta Factor" projecting for the eleven sectors of the market?  Based on recent analysis, the international market is over bought.  Is the same true for the U.S. Equities market? Checking out the data table below, three years of historical data indicate the same over bought condition exists for the U.S. market. … [Read More...]