100 Level

Twelve ETF Portfolio: Moving From HYG to LQD

Here is the link to a basic 12-ETF portfolio.  In addition to examining the ETFs that make up the portfolio, take time to look at the Correlation Matrix. Over time I plan to sell some shares in HYG and move those funds over to LQD.  View this comparison link to see why I might be inclined to make the change.  If looking for income, HYG does have a higher yield than LQD.   … [Read More...]

“Delta Factor” – What is it and is it useful?

Context is essential when developing an argument, and that is what this post on the "Delta Factor" is designed to do.  Rather than use ETFs in the "Delta Factor" argument, I selected 20 well-known stocks so I could dip back to the late 1900s for data.  Many ETFs we use did not exist in the late 1900s and early 2000s and most that did lack the necessary historical data … [Read More...]

300 Level

Reference Portfolio Analyzed

Using an array of ETFs, primarily commission free with TDAmeritrade, I ran a Momentum-Optimization Model (MOM) analysis for the purpose of showing new and experienced investors how the MOM can be used  to manage a portfolio.  Not everyone will be interested in this model as it does require more monitoring than the buy and hold approach. Consider MOM to be one level up in sophistication as … [Read More...]

Analysis of Sample Portfolio

A new Platinum member requested an analysis of the following portfolio.  I first ran the list of stocks and ETFs through the QPP analysis process.  Here is that screenshot.  Note that I assumed the S&P would increase at an annualized 7% rate and the data period is for five years. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Setting Up a New Portfolio

Whether one is a beginning or experienced investor, a respectable portfolio can be constructed using the following 27 ETFs.  These ETFs are available commission free to TDAmeritrade clients.  While there are 27 ETFs available, it is not expected all would be part of the portfolio at any one time.  Currently, only 13 ETFs are recommended with the current conditions. This material is not … [Read More...]

Save Early

Photograph: Florence, Italy There is no better way to prepare for retirement than to save frequently and early.  The operative word is "early."  The Golden Rule of Investing is to "Save as Much as You Can as Early as You Can." William Bernstein, in his book, "Investor's Manifesto" puts it in harsh terms. "Each dollar you do not save at 25 will … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators Gain Ground

The weekly update of index and sector Bullish Percent Indicators showed gains in some critical areas.  Those are shown in the data tables presented below. The following information is not for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Bullish Percent Indicators Are Strong But Merit Caution

Major Markets:  The offense has the ball for all major index markets.  The NASDAQ did give up a little ground, while all others moved forward.  While the signals are positive, two of the markets are in the over-bought zone.  Therefore caution is in order. … [Read More...]