100 Level

VWO And The ITA Risk Reduction Model

During this most recent market dip, if one asset class needed protection, it was emerging markets.  Just how did our Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) or risk reduction model work with the VWO ETF.  Here is the current price and 195-Day EMA graph for emerging markets (VWO).  This morning the 195-Day EMA is $40.80. Since I rotate my review of different portfolios, the selling points … [Read More...]

Return and Risk Relationship

What is the relationship between return of a portfolio and the associated risk involved? Quoting from an “Active vs. Passive” paper I found in my files. “High potential returns always involve high potential risks. There are no low-risk/high-return investments. Investment risk comes in many forms but, to most investors, risk means the potential for losing investment capital and … [Read More...]

300 Level

Supercharging The Swensen Six Portfolio By Adding Three Stocks And Two More ETFs

A reader of ITA suggested adding three dividend stocks (T, JNJ, & PG) to see how it might enhance the "Swensen Six" portfolio.  I made those additions, changed the allocation between TLT and TIP, and added international real estate (RWX) and commodities (DBC) to the portfolio.  These changes enhanced the projections for the "Swensen Six" in all the major metrics. … [Read More...]

Calculation of the ITA Index

To see how the ITA Index (customized benchmark) is calculated, go to the TLH SS Help tab and look at #8.  The link will take users to the audio-video clip for a walk through as to how the ITA Index is determined.  While not a perfect customized benchmark, it is superior to other benchmarks available. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Balanced Portfolio: Number 3

Portfolio number 3 in this series is what I call a Balanced Portfolio.  Bonds are lowered to 40% of the portfolio so this is still quite a conservative mix of assets.  This portfolio comes close to fitting the 60/40 equity to bond ratio, sort of a standard when it comes to building a middle of the road portfolio.  Note the changes that are taking place in the five key metrics.  … [Read More...]

Retirement Planning: A Conservative Approach

When planning for retirement, I always prepare with a conservative outlook in mind.  Even so, one will likely experience surprises, some positive and some negative.  The following portfolio is laid out with a 45 year-old in mind.  The investment vehicles are definitely tilted toward a dividend approach as I think that is where most of the portfolio return will come from over the … [Read More...]

400 Level

Point & Figure Scaling: Why Use Percentage Instead of Traditional Option

A situation arose this morning regarding whether X's or O's are showing up in the right-hand column of the Vanguard's emerging market ETF, VWO.  If the scaling is set to 'percentage' O's are found in the right most column.  However, if the scaling option is set to 'traditional,' X's show up in the right-hand column.  Which is preferred?  To … [Read More...]

Risk Defined

Portfolio Risk Risk is a messy word as it carries so many different meanings in the investing world.  In the most general sense, it means we don't know what is going to happen.  Here are several specific meanings of the term.  We will begin by defining "systematic" and "specific" risk. 1.  "Systematic" risk is risk we cannot avoid if we seek returns higher than the interest rates from a money … [Read More...]