100 Level

Optimization-Momentum and QPP Analysis of Schrodinger: Part 1

Even though it is not time to update the Schrodinger, I am using it this Memorial Day (was called Decoration Day when I was a kid) to illustrate the OM Model.  Let me state immediately that I don't have a clue what the QPP analysis will project when the assets are optimized.  Wait and see what comes out of this analysis. I'll first start with the optimization-momentum model where I am using the … [Read More...]

Quotes From “Millionaire Teacher”

The following five quotes come from Andrew Hallam's book, Millionaire Teacher. 1) Index fund investing will provide the highest statistical chance of success, compared with actively managed mutual fund investing. 2) Nobody yet has devised a system of choosing which actively managed mutual fund will consistently beat stock market indexes.  Ignore people who suggest otherwise. 3) … [Read More...]

300 Level

Schrodinger Portfolio Faces Off Against Similar DFA Asset Allocation

The Schrodinger Portfolio is our premier passively managed portfolio that has been operational since 12/01/2000.  Looking back over the past five years (6/29/2007 - 6/29/2012), how well has this portfolio performed when compared to a portfolio made up of DFA mutual funds with a similar asset allocation plan?  The results are rather stunning in favor of the Schrodinger. Schrodinger … [Read More...]

ITA Experimental Portfolio

The following portfolio is in the experimental stages of investigation so approach it with caution.  I have not checked out costs and expenses for every ETF included in this QPP analysis.  The portfolio includes seven unfamiliar stocks.  I will explain where they come from and the screens used to uncover them. Platinum membership is available for $5.00 per month.  Join ITA and … [Read More...]

200 Level

Can Your Portfolio Survive The Next Bear Market?

The following SORDEX analysis is a variation of the material presented in the "Will I Run Out of Money?" blog.  Once more, I will use the 12-ETF Portfolio as the retirement portfolio.  As review, SORDEX is an acronym for Sequence-of-Returns Downside Exposure. Translated for T. C. PITS, it is a way to run several Monte Carlo calculations and see if you are likely to run out of … [Read More...]

$100,000 Starter Portfolio

For prospective investors just beginning a portfolio, here is a sample based on the Momentum-Optimization Model (MOM).  MOM is discussed elsewhere on this blog.  Just search to full title or MOM to find this material. We first begin with a ranking of all the securities we might consider for our holdings.  This includes approximately 30 ETFs.  Most are commission free to clients of … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators: 1 February 2013

While several sectors showed some weakness this week, our primary index (NYSE) moved up slightly.  The data tables are shown below. The following material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Tilting the Portfolio With Help From the “Delta Factor”

In an earlier post I made the case for using the "Delta Factor" as a "tilting" model.  Since market timing is generally considered to be a losers game, is there use for a probability argument as to when it makes sense to overweight a particular asset class, assuming the investor is constructing a portfolio based on a Strategic Asset Allocation plan?  In the prior post … [Read More...]