100 Level

New Feature: ETF Evaluation Model

ETFs Positioned to Buy The following data table is something new, although I did mention the possibility I would be putting together such an ETF evaluation.  In the following table I've combined a number of variables such as the 195-Day EMA and Chaikin Money Flow and quantized them into a percentage that you see in the right-hand column.  Platinum membership available for $5.00 per … [Read More...]

Are Stocks and Bonds Dead?

The November 26th issue of Time magazine carries an article by Rana Foroohar focusing on Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian, PIMCO executives, who are frequently quoted about the market outlook and reasons why they are both so pessimistic.  Gross and El-Erian don't differ all that much from Grantham's On The Road To Zero Growth projections. Quoting from the Time article, "Gross recently stunned … [Read More...]

300 Level

Bohr Portfolio Update: 24 September 2012

Several changes took place in the Bohr Portfolio since the last update.  I sold shares of VOT in order to bring mid-cap growth into balance.  I also sold a few shares of VTV, but large-cap value is still 1.1% above target.  Cash from these sales was used to purchase VWO, PCY, and DBC.  Emerging markets and commodities are within target limits, but I still need to pick up more … [Read More...]

Using the Ranking Spreadsheet as a Timing Tool

This Post is in response to a comment from a member concerning whether the Ranking Sheet (and Momentum Percentage) might be useful as a general market timing tool for different markets (e.g. US Equities, non US Equities). As suggested by the member, I've setup the spreadsheet with only 4 ETFs, US Equities (VTI), Developed Markets ex-US (EFA), Emerging Markets ex US (VWO) and (the inevitable) … [Read More...]

200 Level

Euclid Portfolio Review: Major Asset Allocation Adjustment

What does the Strategic Asset Allocation plan look like for a portfolio built around the "New Portfolio" model?  Using the Euclid as a model, we move from having nearly all the asset classes in balance to a sea of blood with the new allocations.  Check out the Euclid Dashboard shown below. … [Read More...]

Alternative Investment Vehicles to Suggested Index Funds

What are the alternatives one might use to those suggested by Solin in his recent book, "The Smartest Portfolio You'll Ever Own."  The reason for seeking alternative investments is two fold.  1)  We seek ETFs that have historical records of at least three years.  This is so we can run Quantext Portfolio Analysis (QPP) on the portfolios.  2)  When … [Read More...]

400 Level

Possible Enhancement of ITA Risk Reduction Model

Is it possible to improve on the basic ITA Risk Reduction model?  Of course it is, but the question that immediately comes to the fore is how complicated does one want to get when it comes to reducing risk.  To review the original ITARR model, click on this link.  Once readers have the basic ITARR model in mind, take a look at the StockCharts graph for the VNQ ETF as shown below. … [Read More...]

Sortino Ratio

Sortino Ratio: Calculation Steps Calculating the Sortino Ratio is not too difficult assuming you have historical data for the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of the portfolio and the IRR for a benchmark. Here at ITA Wealth Management our primary benchmark is Vanguard's Total Market Index Fund, or VTSMX. Eventually we plan to move to the ITA Index, a customized benchmark for each portfolio. In … [Read More...]