100 Level

Rule #9: Understand Benefits of Social Security

Rule #9 is to understand the benefits of Social Security (SS).  This logic is based on the assumption SS will be operational for years to come.  To make this possible, all congress needs to do is write one line of code into law.  "Remove the cap from Social Security and do nothing else."  That will save SS for those most in need of this leg of the retirement stool.  The other legs are represented … [Read More...]

Low Risk Retirement Portfolio

Yesterday, I wrote an article for Seeking Alpha and one reader suggested a simple portfolio where equal percentages be allocated to VTI, GLD, SHY, and TLT.  Exactly what does such a portfolio look like when a Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis is applied?  What does the correlation matrix look like and would such a portfolio work as one prepares for retirement?  The following … [Read More...]

300 Level

Newton Portfolio Update: 13 September 2012

Slowly, the Newton Portfolio asset classes are coming into balance.  The major move now required is to lower the holdings in bond and treasury ETFs and reallocate that cash into the few asset classes that are still under target. … [Read More...]

Curie Portfolio Update: 1 June 2012

Photograph:  Sunrise in Hilo, Hawaii June is upon us and it is time to update the Curie Portfolio.  Although the Curie is not one of the ITA Risk Reduction model portfolios, I am applying ITARR methods to some of the asset classes as Platinum members can see in the following Dashboard.  Large-Cap Blend is one of the asset classes I am closely tracking.  When the market closed … [Read More...]

200 Level

Risk Reduction Portfolio: A Potential Asset Allocation Plan

Bob Warasila, author of the "New Normal" portfolio, sent me an asset allocation plan that is worth sharing with Platinum members.  This Risk Reduction Portfolio differs slightly from one I recently posted over on Seeking Alpha in that this portfolio has a small exposure to precious metals and it also includes on stock.  In the following three screen shots readers will find the … [Read More...]

Large vs. Small Cap Allocations: Is A Reallocation In Order?

I am reading material that indicates a change in asset allocation is in order for the third, and perhaps, fourth quarter.  This post is very short so expect more details later this week. … [Read More...]

400 Level

Staying On The Right Side Of The Market With A Ten ETF Portfolio

Remaining on the right side of the market is critical to reducing portfolio risk.  Platinum members should be well aware of the ITA Risk Reduction model, our first line of defense.  Remember Faber's axiom that ETFs are more volatile when they are priced below the 200-Day Simple Moving Average.  Here at ITA we use a faster EMA, but the difference is not significant and the … [Read More...]

StockCharts for Basic Six

Readers who are following the ITA Risk Reduction model will note that only two of the "Basic Six" equity ETFs are currently above their 195-Day EMA.  Despite the market decline yesterday, VTI and VNQ held above the critical EMA.  IWN, VEU, VWO, and RWX either dropped below or stayed below their 195-Day EMA. To check your own holdings, go to this link for information. … [Read More...]