100 Level

Investment Articles of Interest

Two articles of interest to investors are the following. The first article was written by Geoff Considine with the title, An Important Challenge to "Stocks for the Long Run."  Jeremy Siegel is the author of the 'Long Run' book. The second article is actually a transcript of a debate between Siegel and Zvi Bodie.  This paper can be found on one of my blog sites … [Read More...]

Modifying the Faber Global Tactical Asset Allocation Model

As mentioned in the last blog, I highly recommend ITA readers take the time to download and read Mebane Faber's article, A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation. This blog entry explains a number of modifications or variations to the "Faber Model."  Faber uses five asset classes in his Global Tactical Asset Allocation model and they are as follows. U.S Equities or Stocks  -  … [Read More...]

300 Level

“Creme List” – 24 June 2011

Twenty stocks made the "Creme List" this week.  There were no new-comers and no stocks were purged from the list.  That will happen in a few weeks if some companies do not make a comeback.  Examine the "Creme List" for stocks of interest.  Note that only one is priced to purchase despite the market decline this week. … [Read More...]

QPP Analysis of Actively Managed Mutual Fund Portfolio

Actively Managed Mutual Fund Portfolio The following QPP analysis is one where the portfolio is made up of actively managed mutual funds.  Long-time readers know my opinion about such funds, even though I used them throughout my teaching career.  It was a mistake.  Data was missing for JVLAX so I lumped the money market funds and the percentage (9.54%) held in JVLAX into … [Read More...]

200 Level

The Retirement Crisis

In keeping with the series of articles on retirement, Gary Simms sent me a link to this PDF file on The Retirement Crisis.  I had problems opening this file using Firefox due to some add-ons they are attaching to their software.  If you have a similar problem, try Safari or Chrome browsers.  As the article points out, this is another financial crisis.  PERS programs are also in disrepair as too … [Read More...]

Constructing Your First Portfolio

Faced with the task of building a portfolio from scratch, what are the first steps?  Assume one saved a bit of money, read a few of the Top Ten Investment Books, and is convinced of the wisdom of index investing. Read the following questions and answer them as best you can.  Don't be fearful of making a mistake or feel these decisions cannot be reversed.  Not only can you change them, I … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators For Major Markets

Below is the current data for the Bullish Percent Indicators.  The big changes this week showed up in the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 as both dropped sufficiently to hand the ball over to the defense.  In another post I will show the sector breakdown, but I can tell readers that energy is going through the roof.  The hot weather on the east coast is moving a lot of money into the … [Read More...]

Gauss Portfolio Launched

The ITA-RR Portfolio, renamed Gauss, is up and running.  Platinum members have access to the Dashboard worksheet below. … [Read More...]