100 Level

Review of ITA Wealth Management

The ITA Wealth Management blog originated over four years ago. It was on February 14, 2008 that I wrote my first entry and published it on an old blog site that was hacked. I first began this effort as I wanted to learn something about blogs. I never intended to begin a serious investment blog, so what began as an experiment evolved into ITA Wealth Management. If one is going to write a blog, one … [Read More...]

Retirement Ratio: Portfolio Performance and Uncertainty Measurement

What is the Retirement Ratio (RR)?  I never heard of such a ratio, at least as it is defined below.  Before going into an explanation, let me digress and address similar ratios.  Portfolio performance measurements that combine both return and risk are readily available to investors.  The Sharpe ratio is perhaps the best known "efficiency ratio" where it measures the … [Read More...]

300 Level

Using Treasuries to Reduce Risk

Compare the following portfolio (QPP analysis) with the risk reducing portfolio I suggested last week.  In the following portfolio, I stripped percentages off several equity and REIT ETFs and allocated those assets to a combination of TIP and TLT.  While the projected return is reduced, the projected standard deviation comes down at a faster rate giving one a higher Return/Uncertainty … [Read More...]

Gauss Portfolio Review: 12 November 2012

Readers interested in a detailed analysis of the Gauss Portfolio will find it at this link.  The following is an update and a discussion of how I am using the ITA Risk Reduction model with Gauss.  The first thing I did this morning was to check the price of each ETF.  So as to maintain the percentage performance of the ITA Index benchmark, I hold a few shares of each asset class.  When I ran the … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance Data: 18 February 2012

All portfolios showed gains this week on an absolute scale, but the relative movement when measured against the different benchmarks was mixed.  The Kepler held par with respect to the VTSMX and picked up a few tenths of a percent on the ITA Index.  The Kenilworth pulled ahead of both benchmarks.  Seven of the eleven portfolios held their own or gained ground on the VTSMX.  … [Read More...]

An Optimized 18 ETF Sample Portfolio

In response to concerns over the allocations to specific ETFs shown in the "Maximize Return/Risk" sample portfolio, below is an optimized revision.  Removed are the individual stocks as they always require an additional layer of complex analysis.  In their place I added VFH, the financial sector ETF that is currently showing a buy based on "Delta Factor" analysis.  I also replaced GLD with another … [Read More...]

400 Level

August “Delta Factor” Risk-Adjusted Portfolio For Interested Investors

What is a "Delta Factor" risk-adjusted portfolio and how is it constructed?  Rather than considering this as a potential portfolio for actual use, view it as an experimental portfolio.  Here are the steps I used to come up with this combination of ETFs. … [Read More...]

What Is The Meaning of Those X’s and O’s?

This morning a question was posed as to the meaning of the X's and O's in the PnF graphs.  One good source of information is StockCharts.  Another excellent source is Thomas Dorsey's book, Point & Figure Charting. The older and less expensive version will work fine. At the heart of PnF graphing is the law of supply and demand.  When the demand for a stock exceeds … [Read More...]