100 Level

Portfolio of Actively Managed Mutual Funds

The following Quantext Portfolio Analysis contains actively managed mutual funds and the portfolio is designed for a 40-50 year old investor.  Keep in mind a few assumptions and expectations.  1) In this analysis the S&P 500 is assumed to grow at 7.0% over the next few years.  2) When putting together an array of securities we expect the projection will exceed 7.0% by 100 basis points.  3) The … [Read More...]

Asset Allocation: Moderate Portfolio

Analysis of a Moderate Portfolio Changing the asset allocation from growth to moderate requires a shift in the percentages allocated to the six basic asset classes. In the following portfolio we lower the percentage allocated to the broad U.S. equities market, REITs, international, and emerging markets. The percentage allocated to bonds increases significantly. Were I not sticking with the … [Read More...]

300 Level

Adding SDS to Reduce Portfolio Uncertainty

Another risk reducing card to use with the ITARR model is the ultra-short ETF, SDS.  By allocating 10% of the portfolio to SDS, we make a significant difference in breaking the back of portfolio volatility.  While the projected return is lower, take note of the dramatic increase in both the Return/Uncertainty ratio and the Diversification Metric (DM). … [Read More...]

Schrodinger Portfolio Update: 26 April 2012

Looking for a passive portfolio?  Look no further than the Schrodinger.  In operation since late 2000, this portfolio had only two rebalancing purchases over the past year.  Otherwise, no transactions other than cash dividend payouts.  ETFs purchased when the fund was launched are still part of the portfolio.  How is that for stability. In the following screen shot, I am … [Read More...]

200 Level

Retirement Portfolio: Part Five

If one is willing to add a few individual stocks to a sample retirement portfolio, what does the allocation look like when optimized?  In the following portfolio I added several ETFs to what one might consider the basic group.  These include SLV, DVY, and IDV where the latter two are dividend generators. Special Note:  The assumed growth rate of the S&P 500 was lowered from 7.0% to 6.0% for … [Read More...]

Risk-Parity: Is This Portfolio For You?

A Close Look At A Risk-Parity Portfolio* The idea of risk-parity has been around for a number of years, if not by name, certainly by concept.  Risk-Parity is an alternative method of constructing portfolios.  Instead of building a portfolio around allocation of capital the portfolio is emphasis is placed on allocation of risk.  All eleven portfolios tracked here at ITA Wealth … [Read More...]

400 Level

ITA Risk Reduction Followers

Early this morning I ran through the primary ETFs used to populate most portfolios and only commodities and gold are in the doghouse.  That is, DBC and GTU are currently priced below their 195-Day Exponential Moving average.  To see what this looks like, here is the link for DBC, our primary commodity holding. Portfolios managed using the ITARR model are out of gold and commodities.  I may hold … [Read More...]

Bullish Percent Indicator Update: 23 March 2013

Both broad markets and sectors of the market weakened this past week.  Not by much and the downward trend was not 100%, but Platinum members will see that the majority of the recorded values declined. … [Read More...]