100 Level

A Twist to the ITA Risk Reduction Model

Photograph: Mountains near Emerald Bay at Lake Tahoe.  Taken from the California side of the lake. While we want to keep the ITA Risk Reduction model as simple as possible, there is another wrinkle available for sophisticated investors.  Platinum readers will be interested in the explanation that follows. Platinum membership is available for $5.00 per month.  Learn how to reduce … [Read More...]

Mebane Faber’s New e-Book – Shareholder Yield

Those reader's who have read Faber & Richardson's book "The Ivy Portfolio" might be interested in downloading Faber's new book - "Shareholder Yield".  It's a bit of a marketing tool for his new ETF but the price is right - it's free for the next 5 days - and there's some interesting information in … [Read More...]

300 Level

Managing Portfolio Uncertainty: How Does It Work?

In an effort to improve performance results and reduce portfolio volatility, a Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) plan has been activated for both the Maxwell and Euclid portfolios.  Checking the latest Portfolio Performance data table, we see these two portfolios are trailing the VTSMX benchmark, an unacceptable condition.  Keep in mind this is an extreme strategy, but it is based on … [Read More...]

Sample Portfolio QPP Analysis for Client

One of the services I provide to Platinum members is to run an analysis of their portfolio.  The following is a Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis of a sample portfolio.   There are two securities, IEFA and ELD, that have short records and those tend to improve the results of the analysis. QPP Analysis:  Assuming the S&P 500 will grow at a 7.0% rate over the next year, this portfolio … [Read More...]

200 Level

What The Experts Say About Index Investing

Photograph:  Georgia O'Keeffe Museum Research Center - New Mexico   Perusing the Bogleheads web site, I found this long list of quotes from well known investment writers and managers.  Here is what they have to say about index investing.  These bits of wisdom further explain why I favor tilting investments toward non-managed index vehicles.  Further, I favor ETFs for … [Read More...]

Alternative Investment Vehicles to Suggested Index Funds

What are the alternatives one might use to those suggested by Solin in his recent book, "The Smartest Portfolio You'll Ever Own."  The reason for seeking alternative investments is two fold.  1)  We seek ETFs that have historical records of at least three years.  This is so we can run Quantext Portfolio Analysis (QPP) on the portfolios.  2)  When … [Read More...]

400 Level

Post-Modern Portfolio Theory

Serious investors interested in digging deeper into the issue of portfolio risk management will find the article titled, Post-Modern Portfolio Theory of great interest. Any link is bound to produce different references over time so here is a clue to finding the article. Google the term, “Post-Modern Portfolio Theory” and then look for the PDF article by the same name. The article is … [Read More...]

“Delta Factor” Changes Over Last Week

How are the "Delta Factor" projections altered after a positive week in the market?  To answer this question, I listed many of the ETFs used in various portfolios and ran the analysis for two different time frames.  The first screen shot shows the Delta and Delta Factor from 10/3/2007 through 10/3/2011.  The second screen shot captures the data from 10/10/2007 through … [Read More...]