100 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators Show Markets Continue to Weaken

Bullish Percent Indicators (BPI) provide us with a broad look at large index and sector movements for the U.S. Equities market.  While I do not use either the index or sector tables as trading tools, I do watch them for general market trends and as guides to determing when the market is over bought or over sold.  Right now the market is over bought and weakening. Index BPI:  One significant … [Read More...]

Risk-Parity: A Brief Explanation of How Risky a 60/40 Portfolio Really Is

While I have a sample Risk-Parity portfolio coming out early tomorrow morning, I want to rush out a brief description of how risk is calculated.  This not for the mathematically squeamish, but the concept is not difficult if one can get past one step in the logic.  Don't be surprised if this concept does not alter how portfolios are put together here at ITA Wealth Management.  … [Read More...]

300 Level

Kepler Portfolio Update: 19 September 2011

While this is an intraday update, the asset allocation relationships shown in the following Dashboard will not change all that much.  Shares of VWO were added to bring the emerging markets closer to target.  We still need another 105 shares of VWO to push this asset class back to target. … [Read More...]

Passive Investing: How to Solve a Complex Problem

Photograph: Tug-of-Toy Photograph:  In memory of Cody, victor in the Tug-of-Toy contest. Passive investing through the use of index ETFs is a solution to a complex problem.  Here at ITA Wealth Management, we guide individual investors through the process of setting up a Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) plan, maintain it, and monitor it for return vs. a benchmark as well as risk … [Read More...]

200 Level

Einstein Portfolio Update: 2 January 2012

The following Dashboard shows the asset allocation plan for the Einstein Portfolio.  This worksheet and the following performance slide include all dividends from 2011.  With the available cash, I expect to put all the under-target asset classes in balance within a few weeks.  I have several limit orders in place for the under-target asset classes. … [Read More...]

Value Oriented Portfolio

Last evening a value oriented portfolio was mailed to me so I thought I would run it through a Quantext Portfolio Planner analysis.  Unfortunately, three of the thirteen ETFs have "short records."  This simply means the data does not extend back a minimum of three years. The ETFs with limited data are: MGV, VXUS, and VSS.  Nevertheless, here are the results. To view this … [Read More...]

400 Level

VEU And The ITA Risk Reduction Model

Using the ITA Risk Reduction model for VEU tells a completely different story from the prior analysis of VTI.  Using the same time frames as we did for VTI, the first examination is to see what we do at the end of the month. … [Read More...]

Beyond the Sortino Ratio

      This article was published two years ago, but most readers missed it.  That is why I am bringing it forward again, with a few edits. Frank Sortino begins Chapter 3 of his "The Sortino Framework..." book with this sentence. "This chapter begins with the development of the Sortino ratio and why I discarded it for the upside potential ratio and Desired … [Read More...]