100 Level

Ten Biggest Investor Mistakes – #4

Wealth Management: Mistake #4: Investors lack knowledge about the importance of asset allocation.   Investors do not educate themselves as to the importance of asset allocation, and what asset classes tend to perform better than others over the long-run. I need not go into the importance of overcoming this mistake as I have written extensively about this possible mistake. Just click on the … [Read More...]

Broad Market Outlook Based on Bullish Percent Index

Based only on gut feeling, most of us would expect rather good numbers to show up this week when we drill down into the Bullish Percent Index values for the major indexes and individual sectors.  The following two tables will not be a surprise if this is your impression of the trading week just passed.  First, the major markets. Index BPI:  All indexes showed a slight uptick in the actual … [Read More...]

300 Level

Bohr Portfolio Update: 30 January 2012

Today I added shares of VWO and RWX as emerging markets and international REITs were both under target.  Even though the Bohr Portfolio is not part of the ITA Risk Reduction experiment, there is an incentive to fill up asset classes where the current price of the the ETF is above its 195-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). … [Read More...]

“Delta Factor” Changes Over Last Week

How are the "Delta Factor" projections altered after a positive week in the market?  To answer this question, I listed many of the ETFs used in various portfolios and ran the analysis for two different time frames.  The first screen shot shows the Delta and Delta Factor from 10/3/2007 through 10/3/2011.  The second screen shot captures the data from 10/10/2007 through … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance: 20 May 2011

While nearly every updated portfolio lost a little ground in absolute terms, all gained when compared to either the customized ITA Index, the Vanguard Total Market Index Fund (VTSMX), or one of the two uncertainty or risk ratios.  Absolute terms means that the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of the portfolio declined.  While this is important, the relative measurements are more significant … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 2 March 2012

Most of the portfolios were either flat or lost a fraction of a performance percentage point this week.  The Newton and Bohr made small gains in a rather flat market. Portfolios that gained a little ground on the ITA Index, our customized benchmark, were; Kenilworth, Madison, and Gauss.  The Newton held even and the remaining portfolios fell slightly behind.  It is difficult, … [Read More...]

400 Level

Curie Portfolio Review: 29 November 2011

These portfolio reviews roll around faster than one might expect and this morning is the time to reexamine the Curie Portfolio. Checking over the Dashboard (worksheet from inside the TLH Spreadsheet) is the first order of business.  Readers will quickly see that this portfolio needs some attention.  I've yet to make a firm decision on whether to continue allocating any percentage to … [Read More...]

Gauss Portfolio Review: 22 May 2012

Photograph: Annular solar eclipse taken by my friend and fellow physics teacher, Dave Cross.  Image taken near Redding, California on May 20, 2012. As one of the five ITARR portfolios, the Gauss is an important test model for risk reduction.  Of the eight critical asset class represented by specific ETFs, the following are priced below their 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages and … [Read More...]