100 Level

Stress Testing the 10 ETF Portfolio

A Seeking Alpha reader showed interest in the 10-ETF Portfolio and asked how such a portfolio might stand up under a stress test as I applied to another portfolio. Before running such an analysis, one needs to understand the assumptions.  For this analysis I assume the investor is 45 years old, has saved $250,000, saves $12,000 per year, and will retire on $50,000 per year upon retirement in … [Read More...]

AAII Journal: November Issue

As a lifetime member of the American Association of Individual Investors, I receive their journal each month. The November issue was of particular interest as it included 20 pages of the best financial web sites on the Internet. In addition to all those investment links this issue carried their ETF portfolio of which I analyze in a post tomorrow. There is also an article, "Is the Stock … [Read More...]

300 Level

Maintain Control of Portfolio

It is so easy to add bits and pieces to a portfolio to where it is out of control.  Several of the portfolios I track are in or getting close to this condition.  What happens is that an investor picks up information on a stock or ETF that appears too good to be true and that investment is added to the portfolio.  Sometimes the addition is in such a small percentage that it will … [Read More...]

Holy Grail Portfolio Revised

Revising the "Holy Grail" portfolio is an extension of the blog entry posted earlier today.  The following QPP analysis is somewhat constrained by two new corporate bond ETFs (VCIT and VCLT) that have not been in existence three years.  Nevertheless, Platinum members will find this portfolio of interest.  The broad guidelines for putting this portfolio together is as … [Read More...]

200 Level

Smartest Medium-High Risk Portfolio

With this analysis of the medium-high risk portfolio, we leap over the medium risk portfolio found at this site. The medium-high risk portfolio limits the bond/income asset class to 20%.  Remember, we began with 80% allocated to the bond asset class, moved to 60%, then 40% and now 20% or something similar to what we hold in many portfolios tracked here at ITA Wealth Management. Note the … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance Update: 9 June 2012

Nearly all eleven portfolios gave up the gains of last week as both international markets (developed and emerging) "popped" a few days this week.  As might be expected, the Schrodinger maintained its stable performance as the asset classes are in balance and we are not using any type of Tactical Asset Allocation with this portfolio.  As a reminder, the Schrodinger is our best … [Read More...]

400 Level

Gauss Portfolio Review: 22 May 2012

Photograph: Annular solar eclipse taken by my friend and fellow physics teacher, Dave Cross.  Image taken near Redding, California on May 20, 2012. As one of the five ITARR portfolios, the Gauss is an important test model for risk reduction.  Of the eight critical asset class represented by specific ETFs, the following are priced below their 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages and … [Read More...]

Quantitative Approach to Portfolio Management

In the experiment to improve the performance of the Maxwell and Euclid portfolios we need a basic set of ETFs to form the core for our investments.  This quantitative approach is an outlier in our portfolio management philosophy as it has the potential for more trading.  For this reason, I will be using ETFs that are part of TDAmeritrade's 100+ commission free trades.  Below is … [Read More...]