100 Level

Rule #3 of Investing

Develop a family financial plan once a saving plan is in effect and sufficient dollars are available to be invested. A financial plan will include adequate cash reserves for that rainy day that is likely to occur. Also, make sure you have proper insurance, particularly health insurance. Once the basics are in place one can concentrate on developing a portfolio plan. Although not all that well … [Read More...]

News Flash

The following special message is for Platinum members only. … [Read More...]

300 Level

Analysis of Submitted Portfolio

The following list of tickers and associated percentages were submitted for analysis.  I made a few changes that may have a small impact on the projected outcomes.  For the bond allocation I am using BND as the holding.  For cash I used TIP, not an exact, but reasonable replacement.  TIP actually gives the portfolio a return boost. The analysis was cut to something under three years as a number … [Read More...]

QPP Analysis of Kepler Portfolio

Nearly six months rolled by since the last Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis of the Kepler Portfolio.  Platinum readers can go through the QPP analysis and do not neglect the correlation matrix.  Take a close look and let me know your observations. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Playing Defense With The “Holy Grail” Portfolio

While there is no such thing as a "Holy Grail" portfolio, humor me for a few minutes and think of this simple seven ETF portfolio as a sound basic portfolio. The purpose of this post is to test how one might play portfolio defense and when is such a move necessary.  First, we take a look at the current QPP analysis for this seven ETF portfolio. Platinum membership is available for … [Read More...]

How Important Is Asset Allocation?

My favorite investment writer is William J. Bernstein, author of several investment books and the editor of the Efficient Frontier.  This morning I was scanning the data files of ITA Wealth Management and found where one reader clicked on one of the older articles from Bernstein's Efficient Frontier. [Be sure to read the section, 'Let George Do It.']  I myself have written about the Brinson et. … [Read More...]

400 Level

Using the Ranking Spreadsheet as a Timing Tool

This Post is in response to a comment from a member concerning whether the Ranking Sheet (and Momentum Percentage) might be useful as a general market timing tool for different markets (e.g. US Equities, non US Equities). As suggested by the member, I've setup the spreadsheet with only 4 ETFs, US Equities (VTI), Developed Markets ex-US (EFA), Emerging Markets ex US (VWO) and (the inevitable) … [Read More...]

Using Treasuries to Reduce Risk

Compare the following portfolio (QPP analysis) with the risk reducing portfolio I suggested last week.  In the following portfolio, I stripped percentages off several equity and REIT ETFs and allocated those assets to a combination of TIP and TLT.  While the projected return is reduced, the projected standard deviation comes down at a faster rate giving one a higher Return/Uncertainty … [Read More...]