100 Level

Links to Retirement Articles and Sector ETFs

Interested in retirement articles.  Geoff Considine, developer of the QPP software, has written the first four of five articles on retirement.  You can find the first article using this link.  The other articles can be found by going to the right sidebar under Recent Posts. I had an article published on Seeking Alpha on sector ETFs.  This link will take you to that article. … [Read More...]

Harold Evensky’s Definition of Active and Passive Portfolio Management

Debating which investing style, passive or active, is the superior method is unlikely to end soon. The research is too conflicting and exceptions still exist. The difference of opinion has a long and acrimonious history – and it continues to this day. Before we enter the debate and provide some opinions, it is important to define what is meant by passive and active. A third investing style, the … [Read More...]

300 Level

Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio

Risk-Parity Look at Permanent Portfolio Much is written about Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio, particularly since it held up well during the "Black Swan" markets of the early 21st century.  Below is a look at the equal allocation plan as advocated by Browne, and a Risk-Parity examination of the same four asset classes.  Both the equal allocation and Risk-Parity … [Read More...]

Portfolio Changes

This morning I walked through the Strategic Asset Allocations for each portfolio and lowered the bond allocation to something close to 10% in each portfolio. The reason for making this Tactical Asset Allocation change is tied to my concern interest rates will rise. With rates as low as they are, the probability of them going lower is very low as they are not going below 0%. It makes sense to push … [Read More...]

200 Level

Dividend Portfolio

Looking for a low risk dividend portfolio?  Check out this portfolio sample that I posted over on Seeking Alpha.  There are a number of positive features to this portfolio.  First, it meets all the QPP analysis goals as laid out in the article.  Second, it provides good diversification without too many ETFs. There is a negative or two.  If one is using this array of … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 6 April 2012

It has been several weeks since I last published a Portfolio Performance data table as I was away on a family emergency.  The following table contains current data as all the dividends for the first quarter are included in these results.  There was consistency up and down the portfolio columns.  In general, since the last post both the portfolios and the VTSMX benchmark lost a … [Read More...]

400 Level

Latest Bullish Percent Indicators

Readers looking for the latest Bullish Percent Indicators will find them at this site.  These results simply underline what I've been saying for weeks - this is an overbought market.  One of the ways to protect capital is to implement the ITA Risk Reduction model or simply go to cash at some point when the market backs off these high levels.  That is an extremely difficult call to make.  I'm … [Read More...]

Sortino Ratio: What Is It?

The following discussion of the Sortino Ratio may get a little "heavy" for some readers.  However, this information is very important for the serious investor, so stick with me and follow along.  Users of the TLH spreadsheet are familiar with the Sortino Ratio as one of the worksheets is built specifically to calculate this number.  The equation is quite simple but very … [Read More...]