100 Level

The Diversification Decision

The Diversification Decision Now we come to the most difficult decision of the five laid out in the Goldie – Murray book, "The Investment Answer." If you have the book in hand, you will realize I partially answered this question when I wrote about The Asset Allocation Decision. Here is the expanded explanation of the diversification decision articulated by G & M. "Which … [Read More...]

Top 12 Investment Books: A Revised List

Are you looking for high quality investment books?  If so, I have a new list of twelve (12) books to read.  Platinum members are familiar with many of these books as they show up on several lists by going to All Categories and clicking on Books. It is always difficult to hone down the list to as few as 12 books.  There are at least three more I could have easily listed. Other … [Read More...]

300 Level

Swensen Six With & Without Stocks

Benefits to Super Charging Portfolio With Stocks Two portfolios are displayed below.  In the first we have a portfolio made up of only six ETFs.  I call this the Swensen Six. To point out some critical features, note the projected average annual return of 7.89% or 7.9% rounded.  This is based in the assumption the S&P 500 will return an average annual return of 7.0%. The … [Read More...]

Asset Allocation: A Look Back

Mosaic Portfolio Lookback - 10/1/2007 Asset allocation is at the core of our portfolio plans.  In the following screen shot, Platinum members see a generic portfolio that is Mosaic in nature.  By Mosaic I mean the portfolio contains both ETFs and individual stocks.  While this is not an ideal portfolio, it illustrates the points I am making over the next several blogs entries. The … [Read More...]

200 Level

Lost My Spouse – Part III

Determine your long-term cash flow. How much monthly income is required?  Will income from pension and social security meet the cash flow requirements or is additional money required from the portfolio?  For most single retired individuals, some income is required from the portfolio.  My recommendation is to pull no more than 4% annually from the portfolio.  The lower the … [Read More...]

Retirement Portfolio: Part Five

If one is willing to add a few individual stocks to a sample retirement portfolio, what does the allocation look like when optimized?  In the following portfolio I added several ETFs to what one might consider the basic group.  These include SLV, DVY, and IDV where the latter two are dividend generators. Special Note:  The assumed growth rate of the S&P 500 was lowered from 7.0% to 6.0% for … [Read More...]

400 Level

Faber – Richardson “Ivy Model” Review

In response to a recent question, allow me to review the Faber - Richardson model as described in their book, "The Ivy Portfolio: How to Invest Like the Top Endowments and Avoid Bear Markets."  The ITA Risk Reduction model focuses on the "Avoid Bear Markets" part of the Faber book. Here are the basic Faber - Richardson rules one can use with any portfolio.  Investors … [Read More...]

Is It Time To Buy The Commodity, DBC?

The quick answer is, NO.  Why is it too early to move back into the commodity ETF?  Let me count the ways.  First, start with the PnF graph, shown in the first slide.  Today's big drop is shown with a 6 showing up in the right-hand column.  That 6 indicates DBC had another one box drop in June which means we are adding another O in this column.  Supply for DBC … [Read More...]