100 Level

Reviewing Buy and Sell Decisions: Using VNQ as Example

Platinum members are aware of the five (Maxwell, Euclid, Madison, Kenilworth, and Gauss) ITA Risk Reduction (ITARR) portfolios.  In an effort to reduce risk there are times when the price of the ETF runs well ahead of its 195-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and we want to protect profits.  How can we do this?  Here are some suggestions and an example.  Remember, this pertains to a situation … [Read More...]

Eight Asset Porfolio

Photograph: When I first walked Devastation Trail in late 1961 or early 1962, there was no vegetation to be seen as it was soon after the eruption. Consider the following portfolio that holds eight assets including cash.  In this analysis, I am using the 20-year treasury ETF, TLT, to represent cash, a substitution that gives the portfolio a slight boost over current money market rates.  … [Read More...]

300 Level

Setting Buy Limit Order

Within a TDAmeritrade account, how does one set a limit order to buy shares of an ETF?  The following video clip explains the process.  It is quite easy.  Just log on to your account and walk through the following steps.  As mentioned in the video/audio clip, I rarely set orders of any type outside NYSE business hours as the bid-ask spread all too frequently expands in after … [Read More...]

Kepler Portfolio Update: 13 March 2012

Another month rolls around for the Kepler Portfolio and all is going well.  Once more we begin by examining the Dashboard, the worksheet extracted from the TLH Spreadsheet.  The Dashboard is the Strategic Asset Allocation plan for the portfolio.  All seventeen asset classes are used to fill out the asset allocation program for this portfolio. Platinum members will note the tilt … [Read More...]

200 Level

Optimizing the “Swensen Six” Portfolio

To answer the question of how much the "Swensen Six" portfolio changes when placed under the optimization microscope, here is the following analysis.  The percentage changes from asset class to asset class are not as different as one might expect. This material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Thinking Through a Basic ETF Portfolio

Thinking through the process of constructing the following ETF rich portfolio several required specific goals be met. This material is not for publication elsewhere on the Internet. The portfolio needed to be simple.  While 15 ETFs are not exactly simple, neither is it overly complicated.  To simplify one could reduce the number of bond and treasury ETFs. All ETFs must be commission free … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators For Major Markets

Below is the current data for the Bullish Percent Indicators.  The big changes this week showed up in the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 as both dropped sufficiently to hand the ball over to the defense.  In another post I will show the sector breakdown, but I can tell readers that energy is going through the roof.  The hot weather on the east coast is moving a lot of money into the … [Read More...]

Is It Time To Buy The Commodity, DBC?

The quick answer is, NO.  Why is it too early to move back into the commodity ETF?  Let me count the ways.  First, start with the PnF graph, shown in the first slide.  Today's big drop is shown with a 6 showing up in the right-hand column.  That 6 indicates DBC had another one box drop in June which means we are adding another O in this column.  Supply for DBC … [Read More...]