100 Level

Swensen Six and Faber “Ivy Ten” Portfolios

Two model portfolios to consider using are those recommended by David Swensen, chief investment officer of Yale University and author of Unconventional Success, and Mebane Faber, portfolio manager at Cambria Investment Management and co-author of The Ivy Portfolio.  While Faber's book focuses on Ivy League portfolios, there are differences in the make up of the portfolios recommended by … [Read More...]

Portfolio Construction the ITA Way

David Swensen writes in his "Unconventional Success" book, "Construction of a financial-asset portfolio involves full measures of science and art.  The science encompasses the application of basic investment principles to the problem of combining core asset classes in an efficient, cost-effective manner.  The art concerns the use of common-sense judgment in the challenge of incorporating … [Read More...]

300 Level

Risk-Parity Portfolio: What Is It And What Does A Risk Portfolio Look Like?

Reducing Risk Through Risk-Parity Risk-Parity: Have you heard of the term or seen reference to this style of portfolio construction?  Join the crowd if this is new to you, even though the Risk-Parity idea has been around for quite a few years.  Risk-Parity is an alternative approach to portfolio construction where assets are allocated based on risk rather than allocation according to … [Read More...]

Updating the Sortino Worksheet

Platinum members will find a new Camtasia audio/video help session available for those TLH Spreadsheet users who are using the risk capabilities.  Here are the instructions to find the link. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Madison Portfolio Update: 18 April 2012

Examination of the eight critical asset classes held in the Madison show only commodities, as represented by DBC, is priced under its 195-Day EMA.  Both VEU and VWO are close to crossing below their respective EMAs so I will need to check those again a few hours after the market closes as it takes time for the index prices to settle out.  For now, I sold off the shares of DBC as there is … [Read More...]

An Optimized 18 ETF Sample Portfolio

In response to concerns over the allocations to specific ETFs shown in the "Maximize Return/Risk" sample portfolio, below is an optimized revision.  Removed are the individual stocks as they always require an additional layer of complex analysis.  In their place I added VFH, the financial sector ETF that is currently showing a buy based on "Delta Factor" analysis.  I also replaced GLD with another … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators Mixed

With the strong market yesterday (7/27/2012) I expected most of the Bullish Percent Indicators (BPI) would move up in value and definitely show X's in the right-hand column of the Point and Figure Graphs.  Of all the BPI graphs, the NYSE PnF graph is the most important.  Even though the value dropped, it is still as high as it was back in mid-May. Right now I have the Factor Scale … [Read More...]

Simple Global Portfolio as IRA Risk Reduction Core

ITA Risk Reduction Portfolio Over the last few weeks, I've discussed a risk reducing portfolio consisting of seven ETFs.  They are: VTI, IWN, VEU, VWO, VNQ, RWX, and IGE.  While this combination provides global exposure, there are inherent risks.  While the projected return is a robust 9.7%, we take on a high degree of uncertainty to reach this return.  The projected … [Read More...]