100 Level

Links to Retirement Articles and Sector ETFs

Interested in retirement articles.  Geoff Considine, developer of the QPP software, has written the first four of five articles on retirement.  You can find the first article using this link.  The other articles can be found by going to the right sidebar under Recent Posts. I had an article published on Seeking Alpha on sector ETFs.  This link will take you to that article. … [Read More...]

Sample 4 ETF Portfolio

Another Platinum member asked for an evaluation or analysis of this four (4) ETF portfolio. Efficient Frontier:  This EF graph is instructive as one can easily see how the four ETFs are influencing the final outcome.  IEF and TIP dominate the portfolio and move the current (diamond dot) mix of ETFs down in the lower left portfolio of the graph.  Increasing percentages to SPY and EFA would … [Read More...]

300 Level

The Feynman Portfolio Study

Lowell has invited me to author a series of posts on the ITA Wealth Management website that may be of interest to Platinum members interested in learning more about the practical application of some of the strategies, tactics and analysis tools that Lowell uses on the site and how these might be expected to perform under a variety of market conditions. I plan to do this by back testing the … [Read More...]

QPP Analysis of Kepler Portfolio

Nearly six months rolled by since the last Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis of the Kepler Portfolio.  Platinum readers can go through the QPP analysis and do not neglect the correlation matrix.  Take a close look and let me know your observations. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance Update: 5 March 2013

Nearly two months passed since I last updated the portfolio performance data table.  I'm not trying to hide anything.  Instead, I've been working on other projects such as portfolio optimization.  Since the last review the U.S. Equities market has been on a tear.  In context my comments below need to reflect the fact that not all February dividends are recorded in the following data and none of … [Read More...]

Positioning the Maxwell, Euclid, and Madison

In preparation to launch the ITA Risk Reduction model for the Maxwell, Euclid, Madison, and possibly one or two more portfolios, the basic asset allocation is laid out below.  SDS is shown only as a possibility in unusual circumstances.  The percentages as shown apply only when the ETF price lies above its 195-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).  Such is not the case right now as … [Read More...]

400 Level

Beyond the Sortino Ratio

      This article was published two years ago, but most readers missed it.  That is why I am bringing it forward again, with a few edits. Frank Sortino begins Chapter 3 of his "The Sortino Framework..." book with this sentence. "This chapter begins with the development of the Sortino ratio and why I discarded it for the upside potential ratio and Desired … [Read More...]

Adding SDS to Reduce Portfolio Uncertainty

Another risk reducing card to use with the ITARR model is the ultra-short ETF, SDS.  By allocating 10% of the portfolio to SDS, we make a significant difference in breaking the back of portfolio volatility.  While the projected return is lower, take note of the dramatic increase in both the Return/Uncertainty ratio and the Diversification Metric (DM). … [Read More...]