100 Level

Go With Index Funds

Flee Actively Managed Mutual Funds Let me quote extensively from Ferri's "Power of Passive Investing" book. "In every asset class, the odds of beating index funds are low, and the payout for being right is well below what a fair payout should be.  The only conclusion one can draw from this data is that active management cannot compete against passive management in any … [Read More...]

Retirement Mistake #4: Overestimating Portfolio Return

Historically, the U.S. Stock Market has returned about 7% annually in excess of inflation.  Is this likely to continue?  Real earnings come from dividends, dividend growth, and P/E expansion.  Projecting future returns to match the historical level, which included one of the longest bull markets from August of 1982 through March of 2000 is not likely to be duplicated in the near future.  Further, … [Read More...]

300 Level

Four Stocks Emerge From Current Piotroski High-F Screen

From time to time I post a list of stocks that emerge from something known as the Piotroski F-High Screen..  Exactly what is the Piotroski F-High score?  Here are links explaining this metric or should I say, metrics. This material is not available for publication anywhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

“Creme List” as of 1 July 2011

Platinum members interested in spicing up their ETF portfolios with a stock or two will find the following list of companies of interest.  No companies were purged due to missing 13 consecutive weeks, but a few are in jeoparty of losing their position next week.  Two companies are new to the list.  Stock selection is not the focus of portfolio construction here at ITA Wealth … [Read More...]

200 Level

Curie Portfolio Update

Three parts of the Curie Portfolio are presented below as this portfolio is reviewed.  First, is the all important Dashboard.  Examining the overall Strategic Asset Allocation plan is essential to see where the portfolio stands with respect to the broad plan.  Second, is the rebalancing data table shown in each TLH spreadsheet.  This is a relatively new feature in the TLH as it … [Read More...]

If I Were Starting A New Portfolio Today

What would a portfolio look like if I were starting from scratch today?  Here are a few basic principles to consider before making the initial Strategic Asset Allocation decision. Begin by using index funds or index ETFs.  My preference, as Platinum members well know, is to use "non-managed" index ETFs.  Yes, someone needs to make a decision what goes into the ETF, but for practical purposes … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators: 19 July 2013

What information can we glean from the Bullish Percent Indicators (BPI) this week?  Pay attention to our primary index, the NYSE.    When we examine the performance of individual sector ETFs with respect to the broad market (VTI) not many are outperforming the broad U.S. Equities ETF. BPI of Indexes:  Our primary BPI index, the NYSE, actually increased in the number of stocks showing a bullish … [Read More...]

Delta Factor for Basic ETFs

After the recent market push in the upward direction, what does the "Delta Factor" look like for a few basic ETFs one is likely to hold in a portfolio?  When I ran the numbers I was a little surprised at the positive results.  Check out the screen shot below. … [Read More...]