100 Level

Registration Issues

A few Platinum subscribers are having problems accessing the reserved content on this blog and it is likely due to not cleaning up all former subscriptions on PayPal. … [Read More...]

Are Stocks and Bonds Dead?

The November 26th issue of Time magazine carries an article by Rana Foroohar focusing on Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian, PIMCO executives, who are frequently quoted about the market outlook and reasons why they are both so pessimistic.  Gross and El-Erian don't differ all that much from Grantham's On The Road To Zero Growth projections. Quoting from the Time article, "Gross recently stunned … [Read More...]

300 Level

Recent Piotroski Stocks

Platinum members following the Gauss Portfolio are aware that I have been adding "Piotroski Stocks" to this portfolio if any met all nine standards.  The stock is then held so long is it maintains a ranking of seven or higher.  The two stocks recently added to the Gauss were CRAI and PFIN.  Currently, only CRAI should be in the portfolio as it still carries a ranking of nine (9).  PFIN dropped … [Read More...]

Portfolio Rebalancing: Essential or Overrated

Portfolio rebalancing is as old as asset allocation and it is one of the cardinal rules of portfolio management.  It is an action or discipline used by money managers to keep the percentages of the various asset class within stated target limits.  Rebalancing policies assure the investor that the portfolio continues to be well diversified.  If one never rebalances the market will … [Read More...]

200 Level

Going Wobbly On Equities

With the market hovering around all-time highs, perhaps it is time to "go wobbly" on equities.  What might a 20-ETF portfolio look like if the bond requirement were elevated to 30% of the portfolio.  The following is not an operational portfolio, but a sample of securities one might use to build a well-diversified portfolio. Efficient Frontier:  One ETF stands out in the following graph and it … [Read More...]

Retirement Portfolio: Part Five

If one is willing to add a few individual stocks to a sample retirement portfolio, what does the allocation look like when optimized?  In the following portfolio I added several ETFs to what one might consider the basic group.  These include SLV, DVY, and IDV where the latter two are dividend generators. Special Note:  The assumed growth rate of the S&P 500 was lowered from 7.0% to 6.0% for … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators Update: 12 April 2013

Few changes occurred in the Bullish Percent Indicators over the past week.  Some increases in values were noted, but no shifts between the offensive and defensive teams.  For the benefit of new members, this weekly update is what we use to gauge the overall condition of the U.S. Equities market. The following material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Examining Critical Risk Reduction ETFs

This is examination day for the Maxwell Portfolio and the market is in a swoon.  A few minutes ago I look at the "Critical Eight" ETFs and they are: VTI, IWN, VEU, VWO, VNQ, RWX, DBC, and PCY.  All are still priced above their 195-Day EMA, but some are getting close to crossing the EMA line.  For this reason, I will be waiting for the market to close before I make any … [Read More...]