100 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators for Week of 8 March 2013

For a broad look at market conditions as well as specific sectors, check out this article on Bullish Percent Indicators for last week.  I try to post the BPI information each week either on Seeking Alpha or here at ITA Wealth Management.   … [Read More...]

What Are Your Biggest Investment Questions?

Whether you are a seasoned or beginning investor, there are bound to be investment questions.  What are the two or three major ones that come to mind?  Here are a few to get readers thinking. I simply don't know where to begin. What is asset allocation and why is it considered important? What is an index fund and how does it differ from a mutual fund?  Is there any … [Read More...]

300 Level

Optimizing the “Swensen Six” Portfolio

To answer the question of how much the "Swensen Six" portfolio changes when placed under the optimization microscope, here is the following analysis.  The percentage changes from asset class to asset class are not as different as one might expect. This material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

QPP Analysis of Actively Managed Mutual Fund Portfolio

Actively Managed Mutual Fund Portfolio The following QPP analysis is one where the portfolio is made up of actively managed mutual funds.  Long-time readers know my opinion about such funds, even though I used them throughout my teaching career.  It was a mistake.  Data was missing for JVLAX so I lumped the money market funds and the percentage (9.54%) held in JVLAX into … [Read More...]

200 Level

Save Early

Photograph: Florence, Italy There is no better way to prepare for retirement than to save frequently and early.  The operative word is "early."  The Golden Rule of Investing is to "Save as Much as You Can as Early as You Can." William Bernstein, in his book, "Investor's Manifesto" puts it in harsh terms. "Each dollar you do not save at 25 will … [Read More...]

Portfolioist Portfolio: Looking For Additional Diversification

Before digging into the following Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis too deeply, read Geoff Considine's articles on portfolio diversification.  The first article lays out the basic logic for diversification and the second article goes into more details.  In the following analysis, I take the portfolio and run it through the QPP wringer to see what projections are in store for … [Read More...]

400 Level

Strong Market And The Risk Reduction Model

The current strong market is serving investors well if they made no changes in their portfolios.  Those five portfolios where I am using the ITA Risk Reduction model will suffer as a result of the robust domestic and recovery of international market.  Nobody claimed the ITARR model works all the time.  It is designed to prevent major losses during bear markets and that is not what … [Read More...]

Portfolio Risk: Do You Know The Value?

This morning I was in a discussion involving indexes, benchmarks, and portfolio risk.  In one exchange, I asked the reader if he knew anyone who could tell him what risk was involved in their portfolio.  Asking the question demanded an answer from me and the portfolios I track.  Here are the latest risk percentages from the seven portfolios available to Platinum members. The black … [Read More...]