100 Level

Quantext Portfolio Planner Analysis of Faber Ivy Portfolio

As promised, here is the first of several Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) evaluations of the portfolios mentioned in an earlier post.  In this QPP analysis I'll look at the Faber-Richardson Five ETF portfolio.  Equal percentages are allocated to each ETF so there is no fudging with the percentages to increase return or reduce risk.  This array of ETFs is a solid starting point … [Read More...]

“Sell In May And Go Away”

Seasonal Timing Strategy The admonition of "Sell in May and Go Away" or "Sell in May and Go Play" likely originated with Ned Davis of Ned Davis Research Inc., or Yale Hirsch of the Hirsch Organization.  This idea reoccurred as a tickler showed up on my computer calendar.  Upon receiving this notification, I immediately did a search for "Harding" of Sy … [Read More...]

300 Level

Dividend Aristocrat Stocks – 8 July 2011

Below is the screen I use to create a list of "Dividend Aristocrat" stocks using data as of July 8, 2011. … [Read More...]

Preparing for the Gauss Portfolio Review

Prepping for the Gauss shows some changes are recommended.  That becomes apparent when one examines the Efficient Frontier graph shown below.  We need to increase ETFs that have a greater probability of bringing returns to the Gauss.  The second and third screenshots will help identify those ETFs. The following material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

200 Level

“Decade” Portfolios

Age Appropriate Portfolios Several weeks ago a reader wrote and asked me if I had "age oriented" portfolios on the blog.  While those were not the exact words, the question was designed to extract more precise portfolio direction than descriptions such as Einstein, Bohr, and Schrodinger.  Rather than build portfolios around high growth or conservative yield, I chose to go with … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance Data: 2/16/11

Portfolio Performance Data Table When looking over the following data table, note when the portfolios were last updated as not all are current as of 2/16/11.  Portfolios tracked by Captool are only updated at the end of the month. As one looks down column 7 or the column of data measuring the difference between the IRR value for the portfolio and the IRR measurement for the ITA Index, one … [Read More...]

400 Level

ITA Risk Reduction Model Positions

Investors following the ITA Risk Reduction model are currently in "neglect" mode.  This simply means we are not trading any commission free ETFs, but we are watching the price action of several key markets.  Let's focus on two REITs to illustrate this point.  In our portfolios we include both domestic (VNQ) and international (RWX) REITs.  In the following graph we … [Read More...]

Bonds Add Little Other Than Diversification

Using Delta Factor analysis, bonds will add little growth to portfolios over the next six to twelve months.  Their main benefit is to bring down portfolio volatility and I believe one can do a better job of risk reduction with some highly selected stocks and/or implementation of the ITA Risk Reduction (ITARR) model.  Below is the evidence for my tepid view on bonds going forward. Platinum … [Read More...]