100 Level

Retirement: Are You Ready Financially?

What is all this investing discussion about other than to prepare for the financial aspects of retirement.  I am already in that stage of life, but this blog is written for those a long way from retirement as well as for retirees.  If I had my druthers, I would prefer to capture very young investors to this blog as time is crucial to successful retirement planning. When I gave … [Read More...]

Music Recommendation for Week of April 14

My first recommendation for this week was Masters of the Trumpet until I saw that only used copies are available on Amazon, and the cost is excessive.  If you are able to secure this CD from another source, I highly recommend it.  Moving on to another excellent choice is a complete recording of Johannes Brahms symphonies.  There are many choices of these symphonies and my recommendation is only … [Read More...]

300 Level

Using the Ranking Spreadsheet as a Timing Tool

This Post is in response to a comment from a member concerning whether the Ranking Sheet (and Momentum Percentage) might be useful as a general market timing tool for different markets (e.g. US Equities, non US Equities). As suggested by the member, I've setup the spreadsheet with only 4 ETFs, US Equities (VTI), Developed Markets ex-US (EFA), Emerging Markets ex US (VWO) and (the inevitable) … [Read More...]

Eight Asset Porfolio

Photograph: When I first walked Devastation Trail in late 1961 or early 1962, there was no vegetation to be seen as it was soon after the eruption. Consider the following portfolio that holds eight assets including cash.  In this analysis, I am using the 20-year treasury ETF, TLT, to represent cash, a substitution that gives the portfolio a slight boost over current money market rates.  … [Read More...]

200 Level

Gauss Portfolio: Updated Dashboard Reflecting Risk Reduction Model

The Gauss Portfolio is now ready for a 30-Day nap.  With all the critical ETFs above their 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), all required purchases were made this morning.  The following Dashboard shows the asset classes are in balance. … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 15 July 2011

Photograph: Mercedes All portfolios tracked using the TLH Spreadsheet lost ground this week.  Those are the absolute results.  On a relative basis, the vast majority gained ground on either or both the ITA Index and VTSMX benchmarks.  Most portfolios also picked up strength with both the Sortino and Retirement ratios.  Inflation dipped 0.01%, a modest positive signal. Asset … [Read More...]

400 Level

Sortino Ratio Update

Investors using the TLH spreadsheet and in particular, the SR worksheet, will find this video/audio clip a refresher in updating the Sortino and Retirement ratios. One of the first changes to make in the calculation is to update the inflation rate. The latest data shows inflation moving from 1.1% to 1.2%. Readers can find this information on a site titled, U.S. Inflation Calculator. In the … [Read More...]

Harry Markowitz

  Modern Portfolio Theory This morning I came across an interesting article on Harry Markowitz, the father of Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT).  Early in "The Big Bang" article are the fundamental principles of MPT. Quoting from the article, here are the three basic investment techniques or ideas that come out of MPT. "Those techniques are based on three foundational … [Read More...]