100 Level

Please Keep It Simple: A Basic Seven-Eight ETF Portfolio

Is it possible to put together a simple portfolio?  I don't want anything too complicated, particularly when I am just beginning my investing career.  Such requests are common and the answer is - yes, it is possible to build a simple portfolio.  The diversification may not be the best, but that issue can be address later.  Below is a basic portfolio any investor can … [Read More...]

“SRIDM” Your Way to Successful Investing

“SRIDM” is an acronym for the five critical steps to increase the probability of experiencing a successful investing career.  Save, Read, Index, Diversify, and Monitor are five essential initiatives or decisions each investor makes at some time in their investing careers.  These five actions are no guarantee to successful investing, but they will go a long way toward building … [Read More...]

300 Level

QPP Analysis of Kepler Portfolio

Quantext Portfolio Planning (QPP) is not only useful when initially planning a portfolio, but it is also instructive when a portfolio, such as the Kepler, is up for review.  In preparation for the update coming next week, the following QPP analysis is a precursor of what to expect for the Kepler.  Do note that four ETFs (VSS, IDX, EMB, and PCY) have "short-records" which means … [Read More...]

Curie Portfolio Update: 4 January 2012

All the portfolios need to be reviewed after the fourth quarter dividend distributions.  The Curie is no exception.  The cash from the dividends will be used to bring some of the under-target asset classes back into balance.  There are quite a few asset classes that need attention as viewers can see from the following Dashboard.  We use the Dashboard as a way of displaying the … [Read More...]

200 Level

Retirement Portfolio: Part Two

As pointed out in this blog post, one first selects asset classes for a retirement portfolio.  Then comes the difficult part of selecting what percentage to allocate to each ETF or asset class.  Below is a basic allocation that is not optimized.  In a later post I will run through an optimization of this set of ETFs to see if the projected return can be enhanced and still lower projected risk. … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 16 September 2011

After a strong week of market gains, much of the rise was domestic as the international markets, commodities, etc. were a drag on our diversified portfolios.  A few portfolios showed gains in the Retirement Ratio, but the relative performance was lacking when measured against the VTSMX benchmark.  Holding SDS and cash had negative effects on both the Curie and Newton portfolios. To see … [Read More...]

400 Level

QPP Analysis of “Top 17 Stocks”

Selecting the recommended stocks from the 40 securities listed in a prior blog, here is the Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis of those 17 stocks.  Included is the Correlation Matrix graph and for good measure, I threw in the "Delta Factor" projections.  Since there were fewer stocks than in the original analysis I was able to show all the correlations. QPP Analysis:  As in the prior QPP … [Read More...]

“Delta Factor” Projections For Next Several Months

Every few weeks I post the market outlook for equity holdings (ETFs and/or stocks) we use in many of the portfolios.  The table below shows the probability projections based on what I call the "Delta Factor." … [Read More...]