100 Level

MACD Defined

Yesterday, I wrote a piece on "Sell in May and Go Away," Sy Harding's Seasonal Timing Strategy (STS).  Built into that strategy is something called MACD.  MACD is an acronym for "Moving Average Convergence-Divergence" Trading Method.  I first read about MACD back in 1979 when Gerald Appel published a pamphlet under the same title. In that 22 page pamphlet he … [Read More...]

Grandchildren: Diversify by Asset Allocation

Diversify Portfolio Hint number nine is one of diversification.  Chapter III of Charles Ellis and Burton Malkiel's book, "The Elements of Investing" is dedicated to the topic of diversification.  It is difficult to pick up a book that supports asset allocation and passive investing without a section devoted to diversification.  Diversify all over the world.  … [Read More...]

300 Level

Reviewing The Portfolio

Kepler Portfolio Review Monday's calendar tells me it is time for another review of the Kepler Portfolio.  Below is the Dashboard for this portfolio and readers will note nearly all the asset classes are within the target limits.  Those limits are +/- 20% as set by the Threshold inside the TLH Spreadsheet.  Only emerging markets is slightly below target.  If new cash comes … [Read More...]

Euclid Portfolio Update: 5 November 2012

Thirty-two days passed since the last review of the Euclid Portfolio and during that time, DBC, one of the commodity holdings dropped in price so that it is now below the 195-Day Exponential Moving Average.  Since Euclid is one of the ITA Risk Reduction (ITARR) model portfolios, it is time to sell DBC and wait for the price to move above its 195-Day EMA.  As Platinum readers can see from the … [Read More...]

200 Level

ITA Portfolio: A Well Diversified Mix of ETFs

Platinum members are encouraged to take a close look at the following list of ETFs that make up this portfolio. The following material is not available for publication on Seeking Alpha or other Internet sites.  This material is reserved for Platinum members. … [Read More...]

Weekly Portfolio Performance Update: 27 April 2012

The good news is that every portfolio increased in value this week.  The bad news is that all but one portfolio (Maxwell) lost ground relative to the benchmarks.  Two factors played into this scenario.  1) International markets continue to lag the U.S. Equities market.  2) Growth equities are performing better than value and that hurts our portfolios since we skew the Strategic … [Read More...]

400 Level

ETF Indicator Table

The following table, available only to Platinum members, indicates the current condition of the eight critical ETFs we are using for the ITA Risk Reduction model portfolios. … [Read More...]

Examination Periods of Risk Reduction Model Portfolios

Risk Reduction Examination Dates A number of readers have written to me asking if one needs to wait until the end of the month before examining where the price of the ETF or stock is compared to its Exponential Moving Average (EMA).  While the Faber-Richardson model, as explained in their "Ivy Portfolio" book, use end of the month in their research, I don't think it is all … [Read More...]