100 Level

Five Investing Tips to Launch a Successful Retirement Program

Five money hints below will put you on the road to financial success. Follow "The Golden Rule of Investing." Save as much as you can as early as you can. Live below your means.  Learn self-discipline and stop spending on trivial material goods. Avoid Credit Card debt as it will kill your chances of success. Invest in index funds or index ETFs.  Many … [Read More...]

Momentum-Optimization Model

If you have not checked into ITA for several weeks, you are missing critical information and I hope you will carefully read this blog post as this marks a revision of the ITA Risk Reduction Model.  While I will not take the time to explain every detail in one blog post, readers will see the Optimization-Momentum Model in action over the next weeks and months.  Over time I want to demonstrate how … [Read More...]

300 Level

Simplified “Holy Grail” Portfolio: A 12-ETF Approach

12-ETF Portfolio Following up on yesterday's blog post, here is a simplified revision of the "Holy Grail" portfolio.  Any time one can reduce the number of holdings and improve the return and volatility projections, give the new portfolio high marks.  The following group of twelve (12) ETFs provides a higher Return/Risk ratio than the portfolio discussed yesterday.  … [Read More...]

Einstein Portfolio Review

Last week I added a few shares of RWX, VWO, and EMB to the Einstein to bring a few asset classes into balance.  Other than the Bonds & Income asset class, this portfolio is now in balance. One Tactical Asset Allocation I will be making is to shift one percentage point from Small-Cap Growth over to Small-Cap Value.  i will use IWN for my Small-Cap Value ETF.  Another change is … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio #4: Ages 56 – 65

As with the portfolio for ages 36 - 55, this portfolio covers a critical period in life.  This is a time when one can normally increase the monthly savings rate.  The children are likely educated and the house is, or will be paid off.  Extra dollars can be funneled into this portfolio.  As the investor moves toward retirement, the portfolio becomes more conservative in that … [Read More...]

Asset Allocation: How Important Today?

Asset Allocation Due to a recent Ibbotson study (Unfortunately, this article now requires one to register.) asset allocation is not the investment elixir today it was thought to be in the late 1980s and 1990s. Nevertheless, it remains the best method for constructing portfolios if the goal is to outperform a broad market benchmark index such as the VTSMX or ITA Index* while reducing portfolio … [Read More...]

400 Level

Examining Equity Markets Using the “Delta Factor”

Read this article as it supports the findings of the "Delta Factor" probability projections shown below.  To learn more about the Gordon Equation, search that term on this blog. Which equity ETFs have the greatest probability of doing well over the next six to twelve months?  The following analysis looks at both a three- and five-year history of a variety of equity ETFs.  … [Read More...]

Risk Reduction Comments

Next week, February 6th, the Maxwell portfolio is up for ITA Risk Reduction examination.  When I checked this morning, before the market opened, all the ETFs used in the Maxwell were priced above their respective 195-Day EMAs.  That well could change by next week.  For example, the commodity, DBC, was only nine cents above its 195-Day EMA.  This raises an interesting … [Read More...]