100 Level

Active Management Headwinds

Odds of Success for Active Managers Richard A. Ferri discusses the various headwinds the investor faces if they choose the path of selecting actively managed mutual funds.  In his book, "The Power of Passive Investing," Ferri lists the primary obstacles to achieving success.  Success is defined as performing better than an index oriented portfolio. 1. The probability of … [Read More...]

Investing 102: Strategic Asset Allocation Planning

Investing 102 - The SAA Plan As a followup to Investing 101, where does one go after reading some verbal guidelines.  Read on.  Laying out a Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) plan is high on the to-do list.  What is a SAA plan? An example is shown below in the Dashboard worksheet extracted from the TLH spreadsheet.  The arguments for such a plan is explained in some … [Read More...]

300 Level

IVY-2: Ten ETF Portfolio

The second portfolio recommended by Faber and Richardson contains ten ETFs.  There are a few new asset classes added such as small-cap, emerging markets, and foreign or international REITs.  Are we able to improve the Return/Risk ratio and elevate the Diversification Metric with these additions?  Check the analysis below for the answer. A "seat of the pants" analysis … [Read More...]

Bohr Portfolio Update: 30 January 2012

Today I added shares of VWO and RWX as emerging markets and international REITs were both under target.  Even though the Bohr Portfolio is not part of the ITA Risk Reduction experiment, there is an incentive to fill up asset classes where the current price of the the ETF is above its 195-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). … [Read More...]

200 Level

Rethinking Asset Allocation

Keeping David Swensen's Strategic Asset Allocation model in mind, it is possible to use all seventeen asset classes available in the TLH Spreadsheet to fulfill his recommendations.  Platinum members will see how this is accomplished when the Gauss Portfolio is reviewed tomorrow.  Instead of using six ETFs as I showed in an earlier post, we will use many more, but still stick with … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 22 January 2011

  While is was not a great week for portfolio returns, most of the updated portfolios showed gains in both the Sortino and Retirement Ratios.  Of the seven portfolios available to Platinum readers, five have positive SR and RR values, not a trivial accomplishment.  The Kenilworth is a very young portfolio so a few dollars difference away from the benchmark causes major swings in … [Read More...]

400 Level

ITARR Style Portfolios: What Next?

Now that we are near the end of the month, what are the plans for the Maxwell, Euclid, and Madison portfolios?  A price check this morning show all seven basic ETFs are well under their 195-Day EMAs.  Should this continue until November 30th, and I expect that to be the case, we will not make any changes in these three portfolios even though we do hold partial positions in VTI, IWN, IGE, … [Read More...]

Current “Delta Factor” Data

With all the work put into analyzing the "Delta Factor," what are the current market conditions telling us if analyzed over several periods.  In the table below, the highlighted row is the standard three-year period used for analyzing DR.  For this snapshot, I wanted to see if different periods made any difference in the outcome. … [Read More...]