100 Level

Bullish Percent Indicators Take Hit

As projected for a number of weeks, the market finally took a breather and retraced this past week.  The evidence is clear when one examines the index and sector tables. Index BPIs:  We find every index below the 70% line or what we think of as an overbought condition.  While we are not rooting for the market to decline, we are well aware that it cannot maintain those lofty heights for an … [Read More...]

Why Do Amateurs Continue To Try When Professionals Fail?

Seeking Alpha is the scene of a debate around the viability of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH).  Before going very far into this topic, please keep in mind that we don't want this information to be scattered very far in the world of investing as we want active manager to keep throwing those $20 dollar bills on the ground so we as passive managers can come along a scoop them up for … [Read More...]

300 Level

Piotroski Stocks: An Update

In the following screenshot Platinum members will find the latest list Piotroski Stocks.  These stocks have a High F-Score of eight (8) or higher. The following information is not available for publication elsewhere on the internet without my permission.  LGH … [Read More...]

Can Your Portfolio Survive The Next Bear Market?

The following SORDEX analysis is a variation of the material presented in the "Will I Run Out of Money?" blog.  Once more, I will use the 12-ETF Portfolio as the retirement portfolio.  As review, SORDEX is an acronym for Sequence-of-Returns Downside Exposure. Translated for T. C. PITS, it is a way to run several Monte Carlo calculations and see if you are likely to run out of … [Read More...]

200 Level

Running Out of Money In Retirement

A few months ago I posted a blog entry about the probability of running out of money in retirement. What I did not do in that entry was run a stress test on a portfolio to examine what might happen should a retired investor experience another three standard deviation dip as we came through in 2008 and early 2009.  Later today I plan to take either the Schrodinger or Curie Portfolios as the … [Read More...]

Eight Asset Porfolio

Photograph: When I first walked Devastation Trail in late 1961 or early 1962, there was no vegetation to be seen as it was soon after the eruption. Consider the following portfolio that holds eight assets including cash.  In this analysis, I am using the 20-year treasury ETF, TLT, to represent cash, a substitution that gives the portfolio a slight boost over current money market rates.  … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicator: 1 March 2013

Few major changes occurred in either the index or sector Bullish Percent Indicator (BPI) tables.  Overall, the numerical values decreased, but not in every area of the market.  Our primary BPI indicator, the NYSE, declined in numerical value, but not to the point where the offense gave the ball up to the defense.  Of the major indexes, only the NASDAQ and DJTA index markets are controlled by the … [Read More...]

Multi-Asset Class Investing

Multi-asset class investing or multiple asset classes is a title that comes right out of Richard A. Ferri’s excellent book, “All About Asset Allocation.” While my reference is to Ferri's first edition, I would pay the few extra dollars and purchase the second edition.  Nudged by a fellow asset allocation investor, I went back and reread Chapter 4 of Ferri’s book. … [Read More...]