100 Level

Analyzing Return and Risk for U.S. Equity ETFs

We frequently read investment summaries as follows.  I pulled the following information from Harold Evensky's book, Wealth Management. Size is significant.  Small stocks have higher standard deviations than large stocks. Book value is significant.  Stocks with low Price/Book ratios have higher returns than stocks with high Price/Book ratios. Adjusted for book value … [Read More...]

Balanced Portfolio: Number 3

Portfolio number 3 in this series is what I call a Balanced Portfolio.  Bonds are lowered to 40% of the portfolio so this is still quite a conservative mix of assets.  This portfolio comes close to fitting the 60/40 equity to bond ratio, sort of a standard when it comes to building a middle of the road portfolio.  Note the changes that are taking place in the five key metrics.  … [Read More...]

300 Level

Einstein Portfolio Update: 12 June 2013

Here is the latest information on the Einstein Portfolio.  This review includes the Dashboard, Performance, Efficient Frontier, ETF Rankings, and Buy-Hold-Sell Recommendations.  We begin with the Dashboard. Dashboard:  Precious Metals (GLD) and Commodities (DBC) continue to be priced well below their 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) so we are staying on the sidelines with those two … [Read More...]

Curie Portfolio Review: 29 November 2011

These portfolio reviews roll around faster than one might expect and this morning is the time to reexamine the Curie Portfolio. Checking over the Dashboard (worksheet from inside the TLH Spreadsheet) is the first order of business.  Readers will quickly see that this portfolio needs some attention.  I've yet to make a firm decision on whether to continue allocating any percentage to … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance Update

With the significant drop on Thursday of this week, I wanted to see how the various portfolios survived the 3/10 downdraft.  Below is the performance data table, and for the most part, the various portfolios held up quite well.  The IRR values for the portfolios updated through 3/10/11 are conservative for several reasons.  The March dividends are missing from many of the … [Read More...]

Large vs. Small Cap Allocations: Is A Reallocation In Order?

I am reading material that indicates a change in asset allocation is in order for the third, and perhaps, fourth quarter.  This post is very short so expect more details later this week. … [Read More...]

400 Level

Working With The Basic Portfolio

Eventually I plan to move more of the ITA portfolios toward the following 20 ETFs.  In some portfolios I need to broaden the diversification and in others I need to reduce the number of securities in an effort to simplify.  Reducing cost is another motivation as all but two of the following ETFs can be purchased free if one is a TD Ameritrade client.  The two exceptions are GTU and VHT.  In this … [Read More...]

Improving On The Simple Nine Global ETF Portfolio

While there are advantages to keeping a portfolio simple, there are also disadvantages.  For example, one will miss opportunities by not including asset classes that have been shown by Fama and French to add value to the portfolio.  Namely, value asset classes such as small-cap value (VBR).  We don't want to eliminate asset classes just to keep the portfolio simple.  The Ranking data table shows a … [Read More...]