100 Level

Return and Risk Relationship

What is the relationship between return of a portfolio and the associated risk involved? Quoting from an “Active vs. Passive” paper I found in my files. “High potential returns always involve high potential risks. There are no low-risk/high-return investments. Investment risk comes in many forms but, to most investors, risk means the potential for losing investment capital and … [Read More...]

The Simple Six Swensen Portfolio

Amid all the discussion of various technical indicators resides a simple six-asset portfolio advocated by David Swensen.  The six asset classes are: U.S. Equities, Developed International Markets, Emerging Markets, REITs, Treasury Bonds, and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.  That's it.  Six ETFs will provide global coverage. The following slide shows the Quantext … [Read More...]

300 Level

TLH Spreadsheets

Below are links to the seven spreadsheets available to Platinum members. … [Read More...]

Return/Risk Optimization of Harry Browne’s “Permanent Portfolio”

The "Permanent Portfolio" developed by Harry Brown leaves quite a bit to be desired when one optimizes for the highest Return/Risk ratio.  The four ETFs selected for stocks, bonds, gold, and cash are VTI, BIV, GTU, and SHY respectively.  There are other choices to represent these asset classes, but these four are the ones I selected for this analysis. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Super Smart Portfolios from Solin

Daniel Solin, in his "Smartest Portfolios" book, recommends these nine index funds or ETFs when putting together smart portfolios.  While my preference is to use ETFs instead of index mutual funds, here are his recommendations. … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 18 January 2013

One month passed since I last posted the portfolio performance data table.  While every portfolio increased in value over the last month, in many cases the benchmarks increased at a faster rate than the portfolios IRR values.  When comparing performance with the ITA Index, the Curie, Newton, Kepler, and Kenilworth gained ground on the customized benchmark.  Maintaining the same difference were the … [Read More...]

400 Level

Risk Reduction: End of Month Analysis

If we were at the end of the month, how would we handle the ITA Risk Reduction model?  What ETFs would we be buying and which would we continue to place in the "neglect" bin for another month?  Checking StockCharts, three of the seven crucial ITARR ETFs are in the buy mode, while four are still well below their 195-Day EMAs. … [Read More...]

Risk Defined

Portfolio Risk Risk is a messy word as it carries so many different meanings in the investing world.  In the most general sense, it means we don't know what is going to happen.  Here are several specific meanings of the term.  We will begin by defining "systematic" and "specific" risk. 1.  "Systematic" risk is risk we cannot avoid if we seek returns higher than the interest rates from a money … [Read More...]