100 Level

Analyzing Return and Risk for U.S. Equity ETFs

We frequently read investment summaries as follows.  I pulled the following information from Harold Evensky's book, Wealth Management. Size is significant.  Small stocks have higher standard deviations than large stocks. Book value is significant.  Stocks with low Price/Book ratios have higher returns than stocks with high Price/Book ratios. Adjusted for book value … [Read More...]

ETF vs. Stock Selection

Photograph: Interior of First Baptist Church in Savannah, Georgia Is there a different approach to selecting an individual stock vs. choosing an ETF?  In my mind the answer is, yes.  For example, the "Creme List" is created by using approximately 20 different metrics.  Stock selection usually requires some sort of fundamental analysis that includes the following: … [Read More...]

300 Level

X-Ray of Gauss Portfolio

The following two screen shots are the "X-Ray Analysis" of the Gauss Portfolio by Morningstar.  As you look over these results, how would you improve the make-up of this portfolio?  What ETFs would you add or subtract to improve the quality of this portfolio? I was unable to capture all the information in one screen shot and that is why the information is broken into two … [Read More...]

Curie Portfolio Preparation

In preparation for the Curie Portfolio review we take a brief look at the current efficient frontier situation and the Buy-Hold-Sell ranking filter recommendations. Efficient Frontier:  With improved asset allocation we should be able to lift the return of the Curie about 150 basis points.  The current Curie is the diamond dot and the red dot is the optimized portfolio. … [Read More...]

200 Level

Save Early

Photograph: Florence, Italy There is no better way to prepare for retirement than to save frequently and early.  The operative word is "early."  The Golden Rule of Investing is to "Save as Much as You Can as Early as You Can." William Bernstein, in his book, "Investor's Manifesto" puts it in harsh terms. "Each dollar you do not save at 25 will … [Read More...]

Asset Classes: How Many Should You Own?

With much recent attention given to answering the money managers most perplexing question, what percent of the portfolio should be invested in each asset class, the whole idea of how many asset classes to include in a portfolio has been neglected.  William Bernstein answers the question this way.  "You might as well ask the meaning of life.  About all one can say is, more than three."  The major … [Read More...]

400 Level

March Examination of the Madison Portfolio

The 24th of each month is the day to examine the Madison Portfolio so I will use closing prices on the business day closest to that date.  Below is the Dashboard (extracted from the TLH Spreadsheet) for the Madison. … [Read More...]

The Stock Market Is Stronger Than You Might Assume

With all the negative news one picks up, are you aware that the stock market is showing signs of strength, particularly when the different sectors are analyzed?  Tomorrow, I will be posting the latest data on the Bullish Percent Indicators (BPI) for the broad markets as well as ten sectors. This morning the NYSE BPI is showing that the offense has the ball as there are X's in the … [Read More...]