100 Level

Lost My Spouse – Part III

Determine your long-term cash flow. How much monthly income is required?  Will income from pension and social security meet the cash flow requirements or is additional money required from the portfolio?  For most single retired individuals, some income is required from the portfolio.  My recommendation is to pull no more than 4% annually from the portfolio.  The lower the … [Read More...]

ITA Risk Reduction Update

Where do we stand with ETF prices and their respective 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages?  As I am updating all the portfolios this month, I am paying close attention to the five (Maxwell, Euclid, Madison, Kenilworth, and Gauss) portfolios to see if changes are necessary based on the ITARR model.  I checked all the primary ETFs used to populate the asset classes and all are priced above their … [Read More...]

300 Level

Curie Portfolio Review: 29 November 2011

These portfolio reviews roll around faster than one might expect and this morning is the time to reexamine the Curie Portfolio. Checking over the Dashboard (worksheet from inside the TLH Spreadsheet) is the first order of business.  Readers will quickly see that this portfolio needs some attention.  I've yet to make a firm decision on whether to continue allocating any percentage to … [Read More...]

QPP Analysis of Kepler Portfolio

Quantext Portfolio Planning (QPP) is not only useful when initially planning a portfolio, but it is also instructive when a portfolio, such as the Kepler, is up for review.  In preparation for the update coming next week, the following QPP analysis is a precursor of what to expect for the Kepler.  Do note that four ETFs (VSS, IDX, EMB, and PCY) have "short-records" which means … [Read More...]

200 Level

ITA Wealth Management: An Investment Blog For Serious Investors

ITA Wealth Management is a blog that espouses the virtues of saving, living a modest life-style, index investing, asset allocation, value loading, and portfolio rebalancing.  Readers coming to this blog understand the importance of saving and living a modest life-style.  If not, search for "The Golden Rule of Investing."  Index investing, particularly when it comes to … [Read More...]

Asset Allocation: A Medium Risk Portfolio

Moving from Low Risk to High Risk portfolios, the following QPP analysis is for the Medium Risk Portfolio. Examining the projected results, the return is too low.  We expect the projected return to exceed that projected for the S&P 500 by more than one percentage point.  This portfolio is projected to lag the S&P 500, which is not acceptable. … [Read More...]

400 Level

Reference Portfolio Analyzed

Using an array of ETFs, primarily commission free with TDAmeritrade, I ran a Momentum-Optimization Model (MOM) analysis for the purpose of showing new and experienced investors how the MOM can be used  to manage a portfolio.  Not everyone will be interested in this model as it does require more monitoring than the buy and hold approach. Consider MOM to be one level up in sophistication as … [Read More...]

Delta Factor of International ETFs

Readers interested in equity and bond "Delta Factor" projections will find the following international "Delta Factor" data table of interest.  For this set of ETFs, the reference or standard upon which the results are tested is the international iShares, EFA. I used three years of data to reduce the number of "short records."  Only the two Indonesia ETFs … [Read More...]