100 Level

Analyzing Return and Risk for U.S. Equity ETFs

We frequently read investment summaries as follows.  I pulled the following information from Harold Evensky's book, Wealth Management. Size is significant.  Small stocks have higher standard deviations than large stocks. Book value is significant.  Stocks with low Price/Book ratios have higher returns than stocks with high Price/Book ratios. Adjusted for book value … [Read More...]

Gordon Equation: What Is It Projecting?

Gordon Equation "If one of life's secrets is ... keep your head when all those around you are losing theirs, then the Gordon Equation is the collar that will keep it there." - William J. Bernstein. When discussing the Gordon Equation, we do not want to confuse the simple investment equation with the Klein-Gordon physics equation.  A Google search for the Gordon Equation will … [Read More...]

300 Level

Portfolio Performance – 20 August 2010

For some reason, I expected to see greater decline in the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) values this week.  In a number of cases, the portfolios picked up a little ground on the performance of the VTSMX. Obviously, this is due to the broad diversity of the asset classes held in the portfolios. In a few cases, the ITA Index increased significantly and that is due to the addition of … [Read More...]

The Feynman Portfolio Study

Lowell has invited me to author a series of posts on the ITA Wealth Management website that may be of interest to Platinum members interested in learning more about the practical application of some of the strategies, tactics and analysis tools that Lowell uses on the site and how these might be expected to perform under a variety of market conditions. I plan to do this by back testing the … [Read More...]

200 Level

Schrodinger Portfolio Faces Off Against Similar DFA Asset Allocation

The Schrodinger Portfolio is our premier passively managed portfolio that has been operational since 12/01/2000.  Looking back over the past five years (6/29/2007 - 6/29/2012), how well has this portfolio performed when compared to a portfolio made up of DFA mutual funds with a similar asset allocation plan?  The results are rather stunning in favor of the Schrodinger. Schrodinger … [Read More...]

Solving Investment Problem #5: It is too late to start saving.

Balderdash!  It is never too late to begin saving for retirement.  Yes, it is preferred to follow "The Golden Rule of Investing" and start saving as early as possible, but it is never to late to begin.  Let me illustrate with a short story. I know of one family that had almost no savings by age 57.  The house was paid in full, but savings for retirement were close to … [Read More...]

400 Level

Return and Risk Relationship

What is the relationship between return of a portfolio and the associated risk involved? Quoting from an “Active vs. Passive” paper I found in my files. “High potential returns always involve high potential risks. There are no low-risk/high-return investments. Investment risk comes in many forms but, to most investors, risk means the potential for losing investment capital and … [Read More...]

8 Dividend Stocks Supercharge the Swensen-Six Portfolio

Eight dividend aristocrats added to the "Swensen-Six" Portfolio boost return, increase yield, without doing extensive damage to the portfolio volatility. The following screen-shots show the original "Swensen" portfolio, a supercharged version, the correlation matrix for the supercharged portfolio, and the "Delta Factor" projections for the supercharged portfolio when … [Read More...]