100 Level

Are Stocks and Bonds Dead?

The November 26th issue of Time magazine carries an article by Rana Foroohar focusing on Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian, PIMCO executives, who are frequently quoted about the market outlook and reasons why they are both so pessimistic.  Gross and El-Erian don't differ all that much from Grantham's On The Road To Zero Growth projections. Quoting from the Time article, "Gross recently stunned … [Read More...]

Second Retirement Rule: Know Your Requirements

While there is no question about Rule #1 of following The Golden Rule of Investing, all rules thereafter could come in any order.  The second one I've selected is to know your retirement requirements.  How much will you need monthly to live comfortably?  It is not unusual to hear a figure of 80% of your last salary.  I would set that as a minimum figure.  If your last annual salary was $70,000 per … [Read More...]

300 Level

Walgreen (WAG): A Service Company of Interest

As long-time ITA readers know, I am a strong advocate of using non-managed index ETFs to build portfolios.  However, there are times when I will add an individual stock, particularly if the Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis shows the stock will increase diversity and lower portfolio volatility.  While I have not run a QPP analysis with Walgreen (WAG) in a portfolio, this is a stock I've … [Read More...]

Bohr QPP Projections

Using current ETF percentages held in the Bohr Portfolio, what are the Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) projections indicating for the next several months?  The S&P 500 is assumed to grow at 7.0% over the next year.  In the prior blog post, I showed the Efficient Frontier graph, and it presents a somewhat defensive portfolio.  This QPP projection shows much the same expectation going … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance: 3 June 2011

Measuring Portfolio Performance You cannot manage what you do not measure.  How true.  These portfolio performance data tables are all about portfolio management, measurement, and monitoring.  The table shown below does not include current updates for all portfolios tracked using the Captool software.  I plan to take care of that early next week. Looking over the portfolios … [Read More...]

Asset Allocation: Medium-High Risk Portfolio

This is the fourth portfolio in this series of relative risk allocation plans based on the data table found in this blog entry.  Note how the projected return is rising, but so is the projected uncertainty.  Return and Risk are highly correlated.  It is difficult to find a combinations of tickers that will increase the projected return while driving down the projected standard … [Read More...]

400 Level

Expecting Market Volatility and What To Do About It

If you need additional evidence that we are in a season of volatile markets, check out this Portfolioist article.  Recognizing that market ups and downs are not about to leave us very soon, what are some options available to investors?  How can we temper daily market moves of 2% or more?  Risk reduction is becoming more and more important. A few days ago, I had reason to pull … [Read More...]

Four Sector ETFs Outperforming the Broad Market

Three sector ETFs, Consumer Discretionary (VCR), Healthcare (VHT), and Financials (VFH) have consistently been performing above Vanguard's Total Market ETF, VTI, for a number of weeks. Today, another sector ETF, Industrials (VIS) pulled ahead of VTI. When ranking securities within a portfolio, VTI is used as a performance benchmark and any sector ETF that outperforms the VTI is included in the … [Read More...]