100 Level

Basic Portfolio Update: Changes in Momentum

As the market rotates from day to day, changes will show up in any portfolio if one is following the "Dynamic" plus SHY model.  If you are new to the blog and do not know what I am referring to, be sure to read The Feynman Study.  For example, yesterday there were only two viable ETFs that were outperforming the SHY, our cutoff ETF.  As mentioned in a comment, only VBK and VTV were ranked above … [Read More...]

Ten Biggest Investor Mistakes – # 7

  ITA Wealth Management Mistake #7:  Lack of Portfolio Plan   Do you have a portfolio plan and is it written down?  If you can lay your hands on a plan, you are a rare investor.  What is involved in specifying a Strategic Asset Allocation plan? … [Read More...]

300 Level

Latest ETF Rankings

Anyone updating their portfolio tomorrow can make use of the latest ETF rankings.  Concentrate on ETFs that are outperforming the SHY or even SHY and VTI. … [Read More...]

“Creme List”: June 17, 2011

"Creme List" for the Week Twenty-one companies made the elite list this week and only Home Depot (HD) was cast to the sidelines after not scoring for 13 weeks.  No new companies worked their way on to the "Creme List." … [Read More...]

200 Level

Dividend Portfolio

Looking for a low risk dividend portfolio?  Check out this portfolio sample that I posted over on Seeking Alpha.  There are a number of positive features to this portfolio.  First, it meets all the QPP analysis goals as laid out in the article.  Second, it provides good diversification without too many ETFs. There is a negative or two.  If one is using this array of … [Read More...]

Optimization Correction For 12 ETF Portfolio

Here are the following assumptions I used to create the portfolio shown below.  1)  The S&P 500 is assumed to grow at 7% per year.  This percentage is adjusted by setting the Delta Return to -3.3% inside the QPP software.  2) I used five years of data running from 2/6/2008 through 2/6/2013.  3) The Solver Parameters are listed below. The following material is not available for publication … [Read More...]

400 Level

“Delta Factor” Projections Merit Caution

This morning I ran into the following article, "Billionaires Dumping Stocks."  Heavy hitters, including Buffett, are shedding U.S. Equity stocks.  After reading this article I thought it prudent to run a "Delta Factor" analysis on a basic portfolio of 20 ETFs.  Platinum readers will find the QPP analysis below and the "Delta Factor" projections for 13 equity and seven bond ETFs. … [Read More...]

ETF Indicator Update

Below is an incomplete list of ETFs using in the ITA portfolios.  As I come across ETFs of interest, I add them to the list.  It takes time to update the list as each indicator (now eight in number) is entered manually.  Of the ETFs currently on the list, PCY is one that is very close to a Buy.  If the percentage exceeds 100% the ETF goes on the Buy list.  PCY is about one … [Read More...]