100 Level

Second Retirement Rule: Know Your Requirements

While there is no question about Rule #1 of following The Golden Rule of Investing, all rules thereafter could come in any order.  The second one I've selected is to know your retirement requirements.  How much will you need monthly to live comfortably?  It is not unusual to hear a figure of 80% of your last salary.  I would set that as a minimum figure.  If your last annual salary was $70,000 per … [Read More...]

QPP Analysis of Suggested ETFs

In the following analysis I show the make up of the suggested tickers.  VSS and MLPI did not have three-year records so I cut them from the list.  In the first slide I show the makeup of the portfolio using nearly equal percentages for each ETF.  In the second slide I show the "Delta Factor" projections using a four-year time span.  The third slide shows the … [Read More...]

300 Level

Maxwell Update: 29 July 2013

Review time has arrived for the Maxwell portfolio, one of the five test portfolios for the ITA Risk Reduction model.  The Maxwell gained 180 basis points over the ITA Index during the past two months.  Now we need to see some gains with respect to the VTSMX index.  The U.S. Equities market continues to be very strong compared to developed international and emerging markets. Efficient Frontier:  … [Read More...]

Delta Factor and Stocks of Interest

Out of curiosity, I wanted to see what the "Delta Factor" would tell us for a group of stocks that show up with a "Buy" signal on my Watch List or 150 stocks.  Without a lot of comment, below is a list of stocks that are priced for purchase based on the pricing models I use within the Watch List.  Extracting only those stocks, I ran them through the "Delta … [Read More...]

200 Level

Retirement Portfolio: What Are The Essential Asset Classes To Include?

A request came in from an ITA reader to put together a retirement portfolio that does not need to produce income since social security and a pension will cover those needs.  In other words, what should the retirement portfolio plan look like?  The first guideline is that this portfolio not include any individual stocks as that lays on an additional level of analysis.  I suspect most investors who … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance: 13 April 2012

Although the individual portfolios declined in value since the last update, all gained ground when compared to the IRR VTSMX benchmark.  In most cases, the difference between the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of the portfolio and the IRR for the ITA Index remained the same.  In a number of portfolios, the Sortino and Retirement Ratios dropped a fraction of a point. Click on title to … [Read More...]

400 Level

QPP Analysis of iShare ETFs Over Different Periods

Over the last few days I've posted a number of entries related to the "Delta Factor" (DF) analysis.  This flurry of DF articles came about as a result of questions tied to entry into the market.  If one is holding cash, when is a good time to begin investing that cash into equity and bond vehicles, be it individual stocks, index mutual funds, or index ETFs?  Readers … [Read More...]

Modified Sortino Ratio and Retirement Ratio: A Review of Uncertainty Measurements

  While the Sortino ratio was an improvement versus the old methods for measuring portfolio performance against a standard, Retirement Ratio sets even a high performance bar.  The old Sortino Ratio looked like the following. S = (P - B)/DR where S = Sortino Ratio P = IRR for Portfolio B = IRR for Benchmark (we now use the customized ITA Index in our calculations) DR = Downside risk … [Read More...]