100 Level

Why Take the Passive Path to Investing?

Let's step back a moment and examine some facts.  One of the longest bull markets of my life occurred from August of 1982 through 2007.  Some may say the bull market ended in March of 2000.  Blackstar Funds studied all common stocks that were traded on the NASDAQ, NYSE, and AMEX during the longer period (actually 1983 - 2007).  The universe of stocks numbered over 8,000 or stocks that qualified … [Read More...]

Franklin Portfolio Update: 1 July 2011

The TDAmeritrade broker accounts are available so I am in the process of updating the various portfolios tracked here at ITA Wealth Management.  The first round of updates will focus on portfolios tracked using the TLH spreadsheet, followed by those tracked using the Captool software.  As mentioned in prior posts, I wanted to give the Franklin Portfolio time to develop through the second … [Read More...]

300 Level

Revisiting the ITA Index

Long-time readers of ITA are aware of ITA Index, our customized benchmark.  Why use a benchmark such as the ITA Index?  While we watch the performance of VTSMX, an index fund that covers the entire U.S. Equities market, it is not an appropriate benchmark if one holds assets outside the U.S. Equities market.  Emerging markets is an example.  For this reason, I came up with a way to measure the … [Read More...]

Second Run of Suggested Portfolio

I mistakenly dropped two securities from a recently submitted portfolio.  Here is an update of that analysis.  Once more, I approximated the percentage of shares held in the portfolio. Efficient Frontier:  The current portfolio lies quite close to the optimized portfolio.  This suggests few changes are needed.  Nevertheless, recommendations are coming in the third screenshot. Security … [Read More...]

200 Level

Three Asset Class Portfolio

Suppose someone told you to build a portfolio, but the upper limit of investments was three.  You could pick three stocks, three mutual funds, three ETFs, or any combination of three investments.  What three investment vehicles would you select, and why would you pick these three? None of us wants to be limited to only three investments, but that is the challenge of this … [Read More...]

Asset Allocation: Medium-High Risk Portfolio

This is the fourth portfolio in this series of relative risk allocation plans based on the data table found in this blog entry.  Note how the projected return is rising, but so is the projected uncertainty.  Return and Risk are highly correlated.  It is difficult to find a combinations of tickers that will increase the projected return while driving down the projected standard … [Read More...]

400 Level

VTI PnF Graph

If the market holds or rises from this point, VTI will not be sold out of any portfolios.  That decision is according to the ITA Risk Reduction model rules.  With this in mind, what is the Point and Figure (PnF) graph of VTI telling us?  I expect PnF graphs are new to most readers and I am no expert, as mentioned in a prior blog post.  So we will ease into this topic.  … [Read More...]

Bullish Percent Indexes: 10 May 2013

BPI Index:  We experienced another good market for U.S. Equities and the following Bullish Percent Index data is testament to this fact.  The NYSE turned positive leaving only the NASDAQ in the hands of the defensive team.  With so many of the broad indexes in the over-bought zone (>70%) it is only a matter of time before we see some sort of draw-down.  This could take a few weeks, but it will … [Read More...]