100 Level

ITA Risk Reduction Update

Where do we stand with ETF prices and their respective 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages?  As I am updating all the portfolios this month, I am paying close attention to the five (Maxwell, Euclid, Madison, Kenilworth, and Gauss) portfolios to see if changes are necessary based on the ITARR model.  I checked all the primary ETFs used to populate the asset classes and all are priced above their … [Read More...]

Standard & Poor’s Indices vs. Active Funds

Readers who need to be convinced that actively managed mutual funds is not a good idea only need to take time to read and study this paper.  This is a follow up to my last post.   … [Read More...]

300 Level

TLH Spreadsheet Hint

Photograph: Colter The following video/audio clip is a small hint of how to avoid the manual update on the Holdings spreadsheet.  Users of the TLH spreadsheet will find this hint useful. … [Read More...]

“Creme List” for March 18th

Platinum members will find the current "Creme List" below.  CTSH was removed from the list as it did not make the top group anytime over the last 13 weeks.  One stock was added as I will mention below.  Look for consistency and movement up or down on the list.  Some shifting took place over the last week.  This list is only for your "Bingo" … [Read More...]

200 Level

Core ETFs Optimized for Maximum Return

To answer my own question of what ETFs are critical to most portfolios, I put together what I call the "Essential Twelve."  The plan is to cover the U.S. Equities, Emerging and Developed International Markets.  REITs, commodities, bond, and treasury instruments are included in the following analysis. The following information is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Asset Allocation and Benchmarking Portfolio

A few days ago I read the following comment.  I did not question the reasoning behind this statement.  "Calculating return is relatively pointless if you are investing in indices." While the point of not calculating the portfolio return may make sense for the investor who selects one or two broad index funds for their complete portfolio, it lacks sound reasoning for … [Read More...]

400 Level

Bullish Percent Indicator Update: 23 March 2013

Both broad markets and sectors of the market weakened this past week.  Not by much and the downward trend was not 100%, but Platinum members will see that the majority of the recorded values declined. … [Read More...]

Equity ETF “Delta Factor” Projections: Three & Five Years

What are the projections for Equity ETFs using three and five years of historical data?  The projections based on five-years of historical data spans the "Great Recession of 2008" while the three-years of historical data includes one of the better bull markets of recent memory.  With this historical context, we can almost visualize the projections for the following "Delta Factor" data tables.  … [Read More...]