100 Level

MACD Defined

Yesterday, I wrote a piece on "Sell in May and Go Away," Sy Harding's Seasonal Timing Strategy (STS).  Built into that strategy is something called MACD.  MACD is an acronym for "Moving Average Convergence-Divergence" Trading Method.  I first read about MACD back in 1979 when Gerald Appel published a pamphlet under the same title. In that 22 page pamphlet he … [Read More...]

Beginners Portfolio

Looking for a basic portfolio?  Check out this link as a possible starting point. Research and personal experience show portfolio construction is the key to successful investing.  Portfolio construction contains two basic elements.  1) What asset classes to include as the building blocks for the portfolio?  For most portfolios, we include between 10 and 16 "bricks" … [Read More...]

300 Level

Portfolio Performance For Week of April 20th

The good news this week is that ten of the eleven portfolios gained ground on the VTSMX benchmark.  Only the Newton did not pull ahead of the U.S. Equities index, but remained even.  What was a little strange is the fact that eight of the eleven portfolios lost a fraction of a percent to the ITA Index, our customized benchmark.  By pulling ahead of the VTSMX I assumed the portfolios … [Read More...]

Weighted Ranking SS Update

If your portfolio is approximately $100,000, the following percentages and shares are laid out for investors going into this coming week.  We first start with the most recent rankings data to start the week.  This information applies to all Platinum members regardless the size of your portfolio. ETF Rankings:  The following ranking is current as of 9/27/2013.  Note the change in the starting … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance: 13 April 2012

Although the individual portfolios declined in value since the last update, all gained ground when compared to the IRR VTSMX benchmark.  In most cases, the difference between the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of the portfolio and the IRR for the ITA Index remained the same.  In a number of portfolios, the Sortino and Retirement Ratios dropped a fraction of a point. Click on title to … [Read More...]

Searching for the Strategic Asset Allocation Holy Grail

Establishing a strategic asset allocation (SAA) plan for a portfolio requires at least two major decisions.  1) What asset classes should be included in the portfolio.  2) What percentage of the total portfolio is allocated to each asset class.  Decision number two is the more difficult of the two.  Where do I come up with the various asset allocation plans found in the various … [Read More...]

400 Level

Sortino Ratio: What Is It?

The following discussion of the Sortino Ratio may get a little "heavy" for some readers.  However, this information is very important for the serious investor, so stick with me and follow along.  Users of the TLH spreadsheet are familiar with the Sortino Ratio as one of the worksheets is built specifically to calculate this number.  The equation is quite simple but very … [Read More...]

“Delta Factor” for Wide Array of ETFs

One reader requested to see what the "Delta Factor" looks like for a wide array of ETFs.  Platinum readers will see the "Delta Factor" for two different periods, three and four years.  If sufficient data were available for these ETFs, I would have displayed a five-year "Delta Factor."  Looking at the two slides below, the time frame selected makes a … [Read More...]