100 Level

Sydney Morning Herald Article on Hedge Funds

There are several reasons for not using hedge funds. Unless one can hire a manager who is consistently in the top quartile forget it. Fees are much too high. Generally 20% of profits plus 2% of assets. The funds lack transparency.  Who knows what the manager is doing. Do I need to mention Jon Corzine? Most of us do not have sufficient wealth to even consider a … [Read More...]

Buy and Sell Guidelines: A General Overview

Armed with analysis tools such as the Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP), TLH Spreadsheet, Hoadley Optimizer and expanded worksheets, it is possible to outline some basic guidelines for buying, holding and selling ETFs.  As always, individual judgments are required and I'll attempt to explain those when transactions occur.  As always, we make investment decisions in the context of broad market … [Read More...]

300 Level

Optimization Correction For 12 ETF Portfolio

Here are the following assumptions I used to create the portfolio shown below.  1)  The S&P 500 is assumed to grow at 7% per year.  This percentage is adjusted by setting the Delta Return to -3.3% inside the QPP software.  2) I used five years of data running from 2/6/2008 through 2/6/2013.  3) The Solver Parameters are listed below. The following material is not available for publication … [Read More...]

Curie Portfolio Review: 4 April 2012

Another month rolled around for the Curie and here is the update.  One trivial bit of information is that one "shard" stock (Washington Mutual) was replaced with another (WMIH.PK).  I despise these fragments hanging around the portfolio.  This is not an issue when one is dealing with "mainstream" ETFs.  Moving past this nuisance we first take a look at the … [Read More...]

200 Level

Active vs. Passive Investing: Part 10

Section Ten of the Active vs. Passive Investing paper begins with this quote.  "Show me a system that will consistently outperform the index...then we'll see."  The author has it correct - there is no such system, particularly for active investors.  Index or passive investors are asking the wrong question if they are looking for active investors to come up with a … [Read More...]

Using the Delta Indicator

Quantext Portfolio Planner Expanded While I hope to have the following article published on Seeking Alpha, I am permitted to make it available to Platinum readers since it is not readily available free on the Internet.  Here is the article as I submitted it to SA.  Platinum members have see this expansion of the QPP analysis before, but I don't recall ever posting both extremes so … [Read More...]

400 Level

What Are We Looking For?

Check out the following PnF graph.  This PnF graph is a composite of the New York Stock Exchange stocks.  Check out the long retracement since the composite topped out in the 78 region.  Read the Status where a Bear Alert was given back on April 16th.  It is looking like that was a great call.  … [Read More...]

Portfolio Performance

Photograph:  Dome of Blue Mosque in Istanbul, Turkey If you hear someone come across a bit strong when it comes to portfolio performance, ask a few simple straight-forward questions. 1.  How is the performance measured and does it meet AIMR standards?  Professionals will know AIMR stands for Association for Investment Management and Research.  ITA Wealth Management readers … [Read More...]