100 Level

Retirement: Are You Ready Financially?

What is all this investing discussion about other than to prepare for the financial aspects of retirement.  I am already in that stage of life, but this blog is written for those a long way from retirement as well as for retirees.  If I had my druthers, I would prefer to capture very young investors to this blog as time is crucial to successful retirement planning. When I gave … [Read More...]

Market Movement Trumps Asset Allocation

Market, Management or Asset Allocation Much as we advocate asset allocation here at ITA Wealth Management, it is difficult to argue with the latest Ibbotson research that demonstrates the importance of market movement when it comes to portfolio performance.  This should not come as a surprise as we have all seen our investments rise and fall as if they are highly correlated with Mr. … [Read More...]

300 Level

Einstein Portfolio Review: 20 May 2013

Thirty-three days passed since the last complete update of the Einstein Portfolio.  The following analysis includes the current Efficient Frontier, ranking of securities, and a table of the Buy-Hold-Sell recommendations. Efficient Frontier: A quick glance at the EF graph below provides evidence this portfolio is not optimized based on the constraints I place on the asset classes and individual … [Read More...]

The Return/Uncertainty Ratio

Formerly, the title of this post would have been the Return/Risk Ratio.  However, Risk carries many meanings so I am switching to Uncertainty to describe portfolio volatility.  The whole notion of Return/Uncertainty is at the forefront of my thinking today since this is the end of the first quarter for 2011.  Platinum members using the TLH spreadsheet will need to update the SR … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance: 4 November 2011

Below is the performance table for the 21 portfolios tracked here at ITA Wealth Management.  SR is the Sortino Ratio, IR represents the Information Ratio, and RR is our own Retirement Ratio.  I'm still in catchup mode so a number of portfolios are not current.  I will be working on updating all portfolios next week.  Readers will note the portfolios tracked using Captool … [Read More...]

A Lesson from Gauss

Carl Gauss is considered by some as the most brilliant mathematician who ever lived.  He is sometimes called called the "Prince of Mathematicians."  I even named one of my computers after him.  One of his contributions is the Gaussian Distribution where real valued random variables tend to cluster around a single mean variable.  Does that sound like prices dancing … [Read More...]

400 Level

Delta Factor and Stocks of Interest

Out of curiosity, I wanted to see what the "Delta Factor" would tell us for a group of stocks that show up with a "Buy" signal on my Watch List or 150 stocks.  Without a lot of comment, below is a list of stocks that are priced for purchase based on the pricing models I use within the Watch List.  Extracting only those stocks, I ran them through the "Delta … [Read More...]

The Condition of Bonds Using Delta Factor

What is the current condition of bond ETFs and should they be part of the portfolio?  To examine this question one method of analysis is to apply the Delta Factor.  When I run a reversion-to-the-mean analysis on bonds, I use AGG as the reference or standard.  For equity ETFs I use the VTSMX total stock index fund.  In the following table each bond ETF is compared with the … [Read More...]