100 Level

Asset Allocation Example

In the table below, viewers see the asset classes discussed in a prior blog entry.  We are looking at fifteen asset classes, including Cash. In the second table the sample asset allocation is broken down into percentages and we cut out the Core holding, moving the number of asset classes to twelve. [Table=6] … [Read More...]

My Saving Plan Is In Place: What Is The Next Step?

Is it safe to assume you have read one or more of the following sources? 1) Chapter 1 of The Elements of Investing by Malkiel and Ellis 2) Pages 143 - 144 and 152 - 154 of The Investor's Manifesto by William J. Bernstein 3) Pages 179 - 184 of The Power of Passive Investing by Richard Ferri 4) Rule 1 (Chapter 1) of Millionaire Teacher by Andrew Hallam Using these resources, and … [Read More...]

300 Level

Waste Management (WM): A Stock of Interest

A Platinum member suggest an analysis of Waste Management (WM).  I'll go into a bit more detail with this stock vs. what I did yesterday with Procter and Gamble (PG).  As you can see from the sales, profits, and earnings graphs, Waste Management is a slow grower.  This material is not available for publication elsewhere on the Internet. … [Read More...]

Benchmarking the Portfolio

Benchmarking Portfolio Establishing an appropriate benchmark for a portfolio is essential if one is serious about investing. Avoiding portfolio benchmarking is an act of self-deception. Exactly what is the purpose of a benchmark and what are the requirements for a fair and reasonable benchmark. Here is one definition of benchmarking.   In the investing world, the S&P 500 is … [Read More...]

200 Level

Performance of Portfolios: 23 December 2011

Portfolio Performance Data Once more, the ten portfolios had a good week in an absolute sense, but most gave up some gains when measured against the VTSMX benchmark.  The numbers are telling me that the U.S. Equities market is stronger than the international markets.  Global exposure is a drag on these portfolios as we hold EFA, EPP, VEU, VWO, and RWX.  When updating the values, … [Read More...]

“New Normal” Portfolio With Risk Reduction Allocation Plan

Following up on the risk adjusted Ten ETF Portfolio analyzed yesterday, what does the "New Normal" group of stocks and ETFs look like when the same risk management algorithm is applied.  In this analysis I was able to stretch the historical period out over five-years.  The percentage allocated to the different stocks and ETFs look reasonable when the low variance BND ETF is not … [Read More...]

400 Level

QPP Analysis for Equity ETFs

It has been over a month since I last ran a "Delta Factor" analysis on equity holdings.  Platinum members will not be surprised when you see what ETFs are showing up as potential buying opportunities.  Keep in mind that the "Delta Factor" is a reversion-to-the-mean analysis.  What this means is that ETFs recently hammered into the ground are going to show up as a … [Read More...]

International ETFs: Priced to Buy?

Approximately once a month I post the "Delta Factor" projections for a list of international ETFs.  Below are two sets of data.  One covers a three-year period and the second expands to four years.  What is the outlook over the next six to twelve months if we use this type of probability projection?  In the following tables I use two different time frames.  The … [Read More...]