100 Level

Buy and Sell Guidelines: A General Overview

Armed with analysis tools such as the Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP), TLH Spreadsheet, Hoadley Optimizer and expanded worksheets, it is possible to outline some basic guidelines for buying, holding and selling ETFs.  As always, individual judgments are required and I'll attempt to explain those when transactions occur.  As always, we make investment decisions in the context of broad market … [Read More...]

Ten Cardinal Rules of Investing

  Ten Cardinal Rules of Investing   Below are ten cardinal rules of investing.  If followed, investors will avoid 90% of the problems that plague most investors planning for retirement. 1.  Invest frequently and early in life.  This is The Golden Rule of Investing. 2.  Buy index funds or ETFs rather than individual stocks. 3.  Be patient and don't … [Read More...]

300 Level

QPP Analysis of ITA Risk Reduction Portfolio

Prices for all seven equity ETFs used in the ITARR model portfolio are not above their respective 195-Day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).  Nevertheless, it is useful to see what a Quantext Portfolio Planner (QPP) analysis looks like if this were the case.  In the first analysis, I use a projected return of 5.3%, which is in line with one of my recent blogs.  Then I show readers … [Read More...]

Curie Portfolio Update: 10 August 2011

Shares of VBK and VOE were added to the Curie Portfolio this month, bringing Small-Cap Growth into balance, but leaving Mid-Cap Value still 2.8% below the target percentage of 8.0%.  We still hold ultra-short SDS in the Large-Cap Blend asset class.  When those shares are liquidated, that asset class will be in balance.  We are still heavy in bonds, but the allocation may be on the … [Read More...]

200 Level

Portfolio Performance: 27 May 2011

Portfolio Performances Updated All but one portfolio showed improvement vs. the VTSMX index.  Improvements were also evident for the Sortino and Retirement ratios.  Our asset allocation plans were working in full force this past week, a positive signal. Only the newest portfolio, the Franklin, lost ground and it is much too early to draw any conclusions.  As mentioned before, we … [Read More...]

Portfolio Construction Using David Swensen Percentage Guidelines

David Swensen writes in his "Unconventional Success" book, "Construction of a financial-asset portfolio involves full measures of science and art.  The science encompasses the application of basic investment principles to the problem of combining core asset classes in an efficient, cost-effective manner.  The art concerns the use of common-sense judgment in the challenge … [Read More...]

400 Level

Adding SDS to Reduce Portfolio Uncertainty

Another risk reducing card to use with the ITARR model is the ultra-short ETF, SDS.  By allocating 10% of the portfolio to SDS, we make a significant difference in breaking the back of portfolio volatility.  While the projected return is lower, take note of the dramatic increase in both the Return/Uncertainty ratio and the Diversification Metric (DM). … [Read More...]

Bullish Percent Indicator: 1 March 2013

Few major changes occurred in either the index or sector Bullish Percent Indicator (BPI) tables.  Overall, the numerical values decreased, but not in every area of the market.  Our primary BPI indicator, the NYSE, declined in numerical value, but not to the point where the offense gave the ball up to the defense.  Of the major indexes, only the NASDAQ and DJTA index markets are controlled by the … [Read More...]